Atlanta Braves
55% win
4
pred 4.2
FINAL
Arizona Diamondbacks
45% win
6
pred 4.7
2025-04-27 Chase Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Geraldo Perdomo UTIL 28.0 $4.6k 6.1
Alex Verdugo UTIL 20.0 $3.5k 5.7
Eli White UTIL 11.0 $2.5k 4.4
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. UTIL 14.0 $3.8k 3.7
Josh Naylor UTIL 19.0 $5.4k 3.5
Nick Allen UTIL 9.0 $2.7k 3.3
Drake Baldwin UTIL 8.0 $2.6k 3.1
Corbin Carroll UTIL 18.0 $6.1k 3.0
Brandon Pfaadt UTIL 19.5 $8.2k 2.4
Marcell Ozuna UTIL 10.0 $4.5k 2.2
Alek Thomas UTIL 7.0 $3.7k 1.9
Eugenio Suárez UTIL 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Spencer Schwellenbach UTIL 14.7 $10.0k 1.5
Shelby Miller UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Ryan Thompson UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Austin Riley UTIL 5.0 $4.9k 1.0
Matt Olson UTIL 4.0 $4.6k 0.9
Pavin Smith UTIL 4.0 $5.0k 0.8
Davis Daniel UTIL 3.7 $6.9k 0.5
Rafael Montero UTIL 0.8 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 51%
-115 · $87 per $100
LOSS
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Atlanta Braves ML + Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+461 · $461 per $100
LOSS
ATL 55% 45% AZ
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.8% 16.2%
6.5 78.0% 22.0%
7.5 67.5% 32.5%
8.5 59.7% 40.3%
9.5 48.5% 51.5%
10.5 41.3% 58.7%
11.5 33.3% 66.7%
12.5 27.4% 72.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineAZ coversATL covers
AZ -1.5 31.6% 43.0%
AZ -2.5 21.2% 32.6%
AZ -3.5 14.0% 24.1%
Team Totals
LineAZATL
O 3.5 60.1% 68.9%
O 4.5 44.8% 55.2%
O 5.5 34.1% 43.8%
O 6.5 22.4% 32.1%
Odds
moneyline ATL 55% · -115 · $87 per $100
BookATLImpl%AZImpl%
DraftKings -115 51.1% -105 48.9%
runline Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs AZ 4.7 no bet
AZ +1.5: AZ 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs ATL 4.2 BET ✓
BookATLAZ
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -115 U 8.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Austin Riley 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 10.6 —
Matt Olson 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.6 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.1 —
Alex Verdugo CF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.3 —
Michael Harris II CF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.9 8.9 —
Drake Baldwin C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.3 —
Eli White RF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Nick Allen SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Schwellenbach Starter 6.2 5.9 5.9 2.1 3.1 54% 100% 14.6 —
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.0 10.0 —
Pavin Smith 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.5 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.2 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.9 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Tim Tawa 2B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 7.2 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.2 —
Jose Herrera C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brandon Pfaadt Starter 5.7 5.5 6.0 1.8 3.3 41% 100% 13.2 —