Baltimore Orioles
26% win
0
pred 4.4
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
74% win
7
pred 3.3
2025-04-27 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Dylan Carlson OF 6.5 $2.0k 3.2
Jorge Mateo OF 6.3 $2.0k 3.2
Gary Sánchez OF 6.9 $2.2k 3.1
Ramón Laureano OF 6.9 $2.3k 3.0
Jace Jung OF 7.1 $2.4k 2.9
Dean Kremer SP 14.0 $5.8k 2.4
Trey Sweeney OF 7.2 $3.1k 2.3
Kerry Carpenter OF 9.2 $4.0k 2.3
Zach McKinstry OF 8.8 $4.0k 2.2
Ramón Urías OF 6.2 $2.9k 2.1
Riley Greene OF 8.5 $4.1k 2.1
Tarik Skubal SP 21.7 $10.5k 2.1
Gleyber Torres OF 8.9 $4.5k 2.0
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.8 $4.6k 1.9
Javier Báez OF 6.6 $3.6k 1.8
Heston Kjerstad OF 6.3 $3.5k 1.8
Ryan Mountcastle OF 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Dillon Dingler OF 7.4 $4.3k 1.7
Jackson Holliday OF 5.4 $3.6k 1.5
Gunnar Henderson OF 7.3 $5.7k 1.3
Best Bets
Detroit Tigers
ML ★ · +7.8% edge
-218 · $100 bet · $46 profit
Model: 74% vs Market: 66%
WIN
Predictions
Detroit Tigers
ML · Model 74% vs Mkt 66%
-218 · $46 per $100
WIN
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-125 · $80 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.7 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+401 · $401 per $100
LOSS
BAL 26% 74% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 75.9% 24.1%
6.5 67.9% 32.1%
7.5 58.6% 41.4%
8.5 49.1% 50.9%
9.5 40.5% 59.5%
10.5 32.6% 67.4%
11.5 24.6% 75.4%
12.5 19.9% 80.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversBAL covers
DET -1.5 46.4% 26.5%
DET -2.5 33.5% 16.7%
DET -3.5 23.7% 10.6%
Team Totals
LineDETBAL
O 3.5 64.0% 51.0%
O 4.5 51.3% 37.2%
O 5.5 38.6% 25.7%
O 6.5 28.1% 17.3%
Odds
moneyline DET 74% · -218 · $46 per $100
BookBALImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings +180 34.2% -218 65.8%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -125 · $80 per $100
DET -1.5: DET 3.3 − 1.5 = 1.8 vs BAL 4.4 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs DET 3.3 BET ✗
BookBALDET
DraftKings +1.5 -125 -1.5 +105
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 +102 U 7.5 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.3 —
Ryan Mountcastle 1B 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.0 —
Gary Sánchez C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.9 —
Ramón Laureano RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.3 6.9 —
Dylan Carlson LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Jorge Mateo SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.1 6.3 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.3 —
Ramón Urías 3B 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.2 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Dean Kremer Starter 5.8 5.5 6.1 2.1 3.3 35% 100% 14.0 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 9.2 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.9 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.8 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.5 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.4 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Jace Jung 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 7.1 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tarik Skubal Starter 6.1 6.9 5.4 1.8 2.5 60% 100% 21.7 —