Boston Red Sox
57% win
13
pred 3.8
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
43% win
3
pred 4.8
2025-04-27 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brayan Rocchio OF 6.7 $2.3k 2.9
Carlos Narváez OF 7.8 $2.7k 2.9
Bo Naylor OF 6.9 $2.4k 2.9
Will Wilson OF 6.2 $2.2k 2.8
Nolan Jones OF 7.8 $3.0k 2.6
Daniel Schneemann OF 6.4 $2.5k 2.6
Rob Refsnyder OF 9.0 $3.7k 2.4
Brayan Bello SP 17.0 $7.2k 2.4
Romy Gonzalez OF 8.0 $3.8k 2.1
Angel Martínez OF 7.1 $3.4k 2.1
Kristian Campbell OF 8.5 $4.1k 2.1
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.8 $3.3k 2.1
Logan Allen SP 12.6 $6.3k 2.0
Trevor Story OF 9.0 $4.5k 2.0
Alex Bregman OF 10.1 $5.1k 2.0
Carlos Santana OF 7.6 $4.2k 1.8
Rafael Devers OF 8.7 $4.8k 1.8
Jarren Duran OF 9.3 $5.3k 1.8
Steven Kwan OF 8.1 $4.9k 1.7
José Ramírez OF 7.8 $5.6k 1.4
Best Bets
Boston Red Sox
ML ★ · +7.9% edge
-105 · $100 bet · $95 profit
Model: 57% vs Market: 49%
WIN
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 57% vs Mkt 49%
-105 · $95 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+467 · $467 per $100
LOSS
BOS 57% 43% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.8% 12.2%
6.5 82.5% 17.5%
7.5 73.5% 26.5%
8.5 65.4% 34.6%
9.5 56.2% 43.8%
10.5 48.5% 51.5%
11.5 40.1% 59.9%
12.5 32.8% 67.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversBOS covers
CLE -1.5 32.6% 40.4%
CLE -2.5 22.6% 29.7%
CLE -3.5 15.7% 23.5%
Team Totals
LineCLEBOS
O 3.5 66.9% 71.0%
O 4.5 52.8% 57.8%
O 5.5 39.9% 45.4%
O 6.5 30.3% 34.6%
Odds
moneyline BOS 57% · -105 · $95 per $100
BookBOSImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -105 48.9% -115 51.1%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs CLE 4.8 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs BOS 3.8 BET ✗
BookBOSCLE
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 10.1 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Rob Refsnyder RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Trevor Story SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 8.7 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Romy Gonzalez SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brayan Bello Starter 5.1 4.8 5.5 2.2 3.0 44% 100% 17.0 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Steven Kwan LF 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 8.1 —
Nolan Jones 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 7.8 —
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.7 7.8 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.6 —
Angel Martínez CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.9 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.4 —
Will Wilson 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Logan Allen Starter 5.3 5.2 5.8 2.2 3.3 43% 100% 12.6 —