Houston Astros
53% win
0
pred 4.4
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
47% win
2
pred 4.2
2025-04-26 Kauffman Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Michael Wacha UTIL 25.9 $6.7k 3.9
Vinnie Pasquantino UTIL 14.0 $3.8k 3.7
Framber Valdez UTIL 23.5 $8.8k 2.7
Tyler Tolbert UTIL 5.0 $2.0k 2.5
Isaac Paredes UTIL 8.0 $3.9k 2.1
Jonathan India UTIL 6.0 $3.6k 1.7
Mark Canha UTIL 5.0 $3.6k 1.4
Mauricio Dubón UTIL 3.0 $2.2k 1.4
Zach Dezenzo UTIL 3.0 $2.2k 1.4
Christian Walker UTIL 5.0 $3.7k 1.4
Jeremy Peña UTIL 5.0 $3.9k 1.3
Carlos Estévez UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Bobby Witt Jr. UTIL 5.0 $6.1k 0.8
John Schreiber UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Steven Cruz UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Jose Altuve UTIL 2.0 $4.8k 0.4
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
LOSS
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 1.3 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.6 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+457 · $457 per $100
LOSS
HOU 53% 47% KC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.2% 17.8%
6.5 75.3% 24.7%
7.5 64.3% 35.7%
8.5 56.6% 43.4%
9.5 44.6% 55.4%
10.5 37.7% 62.3%
11.5 28.3% 71.7%
12.5 21.3% 78.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineKC coversHOU covers
KC -1.5 33.4% 40.2%
KC -2.5 23.3% 32.9%
KC -3.5 15.6% 24.3%
Team Totals
LineKCHOU
O 3.5 58.4% 62.5%
O 4.5 44.6% 50.8%
O 5.5 31.9% 40.2%
O 6.5 21.4% 28.5%
Odds
moneyline HOU 53% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookHOUImpl%KCImpl%
DraftKings -135 55.1% +114 44.9%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs KC 4.2 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs HOU 4.4 BET ✓
BookHOUKC
DraftKings -1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.2 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.7 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Yainer Diaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.9 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.7 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Framber Valdez Starter 5.8 5.4 5.8 2.1 3.0 49% 100% 12.9 —
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.7 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.6 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.5 —
Mark Canha LF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.9 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Drew Waters RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Michael Wacha Starter 5.5 4.9 5.7 1.9 3.0 45% 100% 12.5 —