Boston Red Sox
54% win
4
pred 3.6
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
46% win
5
pred 4.7
2025-04-26 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Blake Sabol OF 6.9 $2.7k 2.6
Rafael Devers OF 11.2 $4.6k 2.4
Triston Casas OF 8.3 $3.5k 2.4
Doug Nikhazy SP 12.6 $5.5k 2.3
Walker Buehler SP 17.1 $8.4k 2.0
Kristian Campbell OF 7.9 $4.0k 2.0
Carlos Santana OF 7.6 $4.0k 1.9
Alex Bregman OF 9.3 $5.1k 1.8
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.1 $3.4k 1.8
Angel Martínez OF 6.0 $3.4k 1.8
Jarren Duran OF 9.3 $5.3k 1.8
Trevor Story OF 7.7 $4.4k 1.8
Gabriel Arias OF 6.6 $3.8k 1.7
Kyle Manzardo OF 7.8 $4.6k 1.7
Steven Kwan OF 7.7 $4.8k 1.6
José Ramírez OF 8.0 $5.6k 1.4
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 50%
-108 · $93 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+472 · $472 per $100
LOSS
BOS 54% 46% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.8% 14.2%
6.5 80.8% 19.2%
7.5 70.1% 29.9%
8.5 62.5% 37.5%
9.5 53.1% 46.9%
10.5 45.0% 55.0%
11.5 35.0% 65.0%
12.5 29.0% 71.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversBOS covers
CLE -1.5 29.8% 42.1%
CLE -2.5 21.8% 32.2%
CLE -3.5 15.4% 24.8%
Team Totals
LineCLEBOS
O 3.5 62.1% 69.5%
O 4.5 48.1% 56.6%
O 5.5 36.8% 45.2%
O 6.5 24.6% 34.4%
Odds
moneyline BOS 54% · -108 · $93 per $100
BookBOSImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -108 49.6% -112 50.4%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs CLE 4.7 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs BOS 3.6 BET ✓
BookBOSCLE
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -112 U 8.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.2 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 9.3 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.1 9.3 —
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.3 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.3 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.9 —
Trevor Story SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Blake Sabol C — — — — — — — 6.9 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF — — — — — — — 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Walker Buehler Starter 5.9 5.7 5.7 2.2 3.1 52% 100% 17.1 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.0 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.7 —
Nolan Jones 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.2 7.7 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.6 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.6 —
Angel Martínez CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.0 —
Austin Hedges C — — — — — — — 5.2 —
Will Wilson 3B — — — — — — — 4.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Doug Nikhazy Starter 5.0 5.4 5.5 2.3 3.2 38% 100% 12.6 —