Houston Astros
43% win
0
pred 3.9
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
57% win
2
pred 4.5
2025-04-25 Kauffman Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Seth Lugo UTIL 35.6 $7.2k 4.9
Drew Waters UTIL 12.0 $2.6k 4.6
Isaac Paredes UTIL 8.0 $3.7k 2.2
Bobby Witt Jr. UTIL 9.0 $5.7k 1.6
Vinnie Pasquantino UTIL 5.0 $3.4k 1.5
Victor Caratini UTIL 3.0 $2.8k 1.1
Lucas Erceg UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Jonathan India UTIL 3.0 $3.3k 0.9
Cam Smith UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Maikel Garcia UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Kyle Isbel UTIL 2.0 $2.7k 0.7
Steven Okert UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Hayden Wesneski UTIL 4.5 $8.2k 0.5
Bennett Sousa UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Best Bets
Kansas City Royals
ML ★★ · +8.3% edge
-105 · $200 bet · $190 profit
Model: 57% vs Market: 49%
WIN
Predictions
Kansas City Royals
ML · Model 57% vs Mkt 49%
-105 · $95 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Kansas City Royals ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+486 · $486 per $100
LOSS
HOU 43% 57% KC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.2% 19.8%
6.5 73.2% 26.8%
7.5 62.5% 37.5%
8.5 54.2% 45.8%
9.5 45.1% 54.9%
10.5 36.8% 63.2%
11.5 30.1% 69.9%
12.5 23.7% 76.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineKC coversHOU covers
KC -1.5 30.9% 42.4%
KC -2.5 21.2% 32.4%
KC -3.5 15.6% 22.2%
Team Totals
LineKCHOU
O 3.5 57.3% 63.0%
O 4.5 44.6% 50.1%
O 5.5 33.4% 38.8%
O 6.5 20.9% 29.4%
Odds
moneyline KC 57% · -105 · $95 per $100
BookHOUImpl%KCImpl%
DraftKings -115 51.1% -105 48.9%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs KC 4.5 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs HOU 3.9 BET ✓
BookHOUKC
DraftKings -1.5 +145 +1.5 -175
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -105 U 8.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.7 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.4 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Jeremy Peña SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.3 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hayden Wesneski Starter 5.7 5.4 5.3 1.8 2.9 51% 100% 13.7 —
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.0 8.1 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.8 —
Jonathan India 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 7.1 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Drew Waters RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.7 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.8 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Seth Lugo Starter 6.3 5.9 6.3 2.3 3.3 42% 100% 13.2 —