Toronto Blue Jays
50% win
1
pred 4.8
FINAL
Houston Astros
50% win
3
pred 4.8
2025-04-23 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Zach Dezenzo UTIL 13.0 $2.3k 5.7
Christian Walker UTIL 17.0 $3.8k 4.5
Yainer Diaz UTIL 13.0 $3.1k 4.2
Ryan Gusto UTIL 24.4 $7.2k 3.4
Ernie Clement UTIL 5.0 $2.3k 2.2
George Springer UTIL 9.0 $4.6k 2.0
Andrés Giménez UTIL 8.0 $4.7k 1.7
Jeff Hoffman UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Yordan Alvarez UTIL 7.0 $5.1k 1.4
Mauricio Dubón UTIL 3.0 $2.3k 1.3
Josh Hader UTIL 5.1 $4.0k 1.3
Chas McCormick UTIL 3.0 $2.4k 1.3
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. UTIL 5.0 $4.8k 1.0
Chad Green UTIL 3.8 $4.0k 1.0
Bryan Abreu UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Jeremy Peña UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Isaac Paredes UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Yimi García UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Bryan King UTIL 3.0 $4.0k 0.8
Bo Bichette UTIL 3.0 $4.4k 0.7
Jose Altuve UTIL 3.0 $4.9k 0.6
Anthony Santander UTIL 2.0 $4.0k 0.5
Bowden Francis UTIL 3.1 $7.8k 0.4
Predictions
Toronto Blue Jays
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 49%
-105 · $95 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros +1.5
RL · 1.6 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Toronto Blue Jays ML + Houston Astros +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+480 · $480 per $100
LOSS
TOR 50% 50% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.2% 18.8%
6.5 75.2% 24.8%
7.5 65.8% 34.2%
8.5 59.3% 40.7%
9.5 46.7% 53.3%
10.5 38.9% 61.1%
11.5 29.7% 70.3%
12.5 23.4% 76.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversTOR covers
HOU -1.5 33.5% 37.2%
HOU -2.5 23.1% 28.3%
HOU -3.5 15.6% 19.5%
Team Totals
LineHOUTOR
O 3.5 61.8% 64.7%
O 4.5 46.9% 50.3%
O 5.5 34.2% 35.5%
O 6.5 23.4% 26.3%
Odds
moneyline TOR 50% · -105 · $95 per $100
BookTORImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings -105 48.9% -115 51.1%
runline Houston Astros +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
TOR -1.5: TOR 4.8 − 1.5 = 3.3 vs HOU 4.8 no bet
HOU +1.5: HOU 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs TOR 4.8 BET ✓
BookTORHOU
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
Anthony Santander LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.8 —
George Springer RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.7 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.9 7.3 —
Alejandro Kirk C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Addison Barger 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.8 —
Will Wagner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.4 —
Alan Roden LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bowden Francis Starter 6.0 5.6 5.4 2.0 2.9 47% 100% 17.4 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 11.4 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.4 —
Yainer Diaz C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.7 —
Zach Dezenzo 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.3 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.9 —
Chas McCormick CF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ryan Gusto Starter 4.4 4.3 4.6 1.3 2.3 27% 100% 12.5 —