Cincinnati Reds
51% win
5
pred 4.1
FINAL
Miami Marlins
49% win
2
pred 4.6
2025-04-23 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Ronny Simon OF 6.2 $2.2k 2.8
Graham Pauley OF 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Jesús Sánchez OF 9.0 $3.3k 2.7
Eric Wagaman OF 8.4 $3.2k 2.6
Noelvi Marte OF 8.2 $3.1k 2.6
Gavin Lux OF 8.8 $3.6k 2.4
Spencer Steer OF 7.5 $3.1k 2.4
Jeimer Candelario OF 8.1 $3.4k 2.4
Liam Hicks OF 6.8 $3.0k 2.3
Matt Mervis OF 8.0 $3.6k 2.2
Austin Wynns OF 7.2 $3.3k 2.2
Jake Fraley OF 7.5 $3.5k 2.2
Kyle Stowers OF 8.3 $4.0k 2.1
TJ Friedl OF 8.6 $4.2k 2.1
Matt McLain OF 10.9 $5.3k 2.1
Sandy Alcantara SP 13.6 $7.3k 1.9
Xavier Edwards OF 8.1 $4.4k 1.9
Otto Lopez OF 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Brady Singer SP 15.4 $9.0k 1.7
Elly De La Cruz OF 9.8 $6.0k 1.6
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 48%
+100 · $100 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.8 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cincinnati Reds ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+481 · $481 per $100
LOSS
CIN 51% 49% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.4% 18.6%
6.5 75.0% 25.0%
7.5 63.7% 36.3%
8.5 54.8% 45.2%
9.5 45.7% 54.3%
10.5 38.0% 62.0%
11.5 28.6% 71.4%
12.5 22.5% 77.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversCIN covers
MIA -1.5 33.5% 38.5%
MIA -2.5 23.0% 28.6%
MIA -3.5 16.0% 20.9%
Team Totals
LineMIACIN
O 3.5 61.5% 62.9%
O 4.5 46.8% 49.1%
O 5.5 34.1% 36.8%
O 6.5 22.6% 27.6%
Odds
moneyline CIN 51% · +100 · $100 per $100
BookCINImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs MIA 4.6 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs CIN 4.1 BET ✗
BookCINMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -102 U 8.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 10.9 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 9.8 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 8.6 —
Noelvi Marte OF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Jeimer Candelario 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Jake Fraley RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.5 —
Spencer Steer 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
Austin Wynns C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brady Singer Starter 5.4 5.4 5.7 2.1 3.0 47% 100% 15.4 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Sánchez RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 9.0 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.4 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.3 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 8.1 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.0 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Otto Lopez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
Liam Hicks C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Ronny Simon 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sandy Alcantara Starter 5.3 5.0 5.1 2.1 2.7 42% 100% 13.6 —