San Diego Padres
41% win
0
pred 4.9
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
59% win
6
pred 3.5
2025-04-23 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Justyn-Henry Malloy OF 10.0 $2.5k 4.0
Tirso Ornelas OF 7.2 $2.1k 3.4
Tyler Wade OF 6.7 $2.3k 2.9
Andy Ibáñez OF 9.2 $3.2k 2.9
Martín Maldonado OF 6.9 $2.5k 2.8
Riley Greene OF 10.6 $4.0k 2.7
Oscar Gonzalez OF 6.5 $2.6k 2.5
Gleyber Torres OF 10.6 $4.3k 2.5
Trey Sweeney OF 7.6 $3.2k 2.4
Spencer Torkelson OF 10.3 $4.4k 2.3
Javier Báez OF 8.1 $3.6k 2.3
Zach McKinstry OF 8.5 $3.9k 2.2
Jose Iglesias OF 6.3 $3.0k 2.1
Gavin Sheets OF 7.7 $3.7k 2.1
Dillon Dingler OF 8.0 $4.2k 1.9
Xander Bogaerts OF 7.6 $4.0k 1.9
Reese Olson SP 13.5 $7.5k 1.8
Kyle Hart SP 9.3 $5.3k 1.8
Manny Machado OF 8.8 $5.2k 1.7
Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 10.5 $6.3k 1.7
Predictions
Detroit Tigers
ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 60%
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
San Diego Padres +1.5
RL · 2.9 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers ML + San Diego Padres +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+413 · $413 per $100
LOSS
SD 41% 59% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.2% 18.8%
6.5 73.7% 26.3%
7.5 63.0% 37.0%
8.5 55.1% 44.9%
9.5 45.0% 55.0%
10.5 38.6% 61.4%
11.5 28.7% 71.3%
12.5 22.3% 77.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversSD covers
DET -1.5 40.4% 31.5%
DET -2.5 30.3% 23.0%
DET -3.5 20.0% 15.2%
Team Totals
LineDETSD
O 3.5 65.8% 58.0%
O 4.5 51.8% 42.6%
O 5.5 38.3% 32.2%
O 6.5 26.3% 22.8%
Odds
moneyline DET 59% · -166 · $60 per $100
BookSDImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings +140 40.1% -166 59.9%
runline San Diego Padres +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
DET -1.5: DET 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs SD 4.9 no bet
SD +1.5: SD 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs DET 3.5 BET ✗
BookSDDET
DraftKings +1.5 -148 -1.5 +124
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 10.5 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Gavin Sheets LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.7 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Tirso Ornelas LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.2 —
Martín Maldonado C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Tyler Wade SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
Oscar Gonzalez RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.5 —
Jose Iglesias SS 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Hart Starter 5.0 4.6 5.6 2.0 3.4 37% 100% 9.3 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.6 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 10.6 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 10.3 —
Justyn-Henry Malloy LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.1 10.0 —
Andy Ibáñez 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 9.2 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.5 —
Javier Báez CF 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.0 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Reese Olson Starter 5.5 5.1 5.6 2.1 2.8 50% 100% 13.5 —