Toronto Blue Jays
50% win
1
pred 4.3
FINAL
Houston Astros
50% win
5
pred 3.8
2025-04-22 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Nathan Lukes UTIL 14.0 $2.7k 5.2
Christian Walker UTIL 17.0 $4.0k 4.3
Isaac Paredes UTIL 14.0 $3.9k 3.6
Jeremy Peña UTIL 13.0 $3.9k 3.3
Ronel Blanco UTIL 20.6 $7.6k 2.7
Brendan Rodgers UTIL 6.0 $2.6k 2.3
Yainer Diaz UTIL 7.0 $3.3k 2.1
Mason Fluharty UTIL 8.3 $4.0k 2.1
Bryan Abreu UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Josh Hader UTIL 6.3 $4.0k 1.6
Ernie Clement UTIL 3.0 $2.3k 1.3
Jose Altuve UTIL 5.0 $5.0k 1.0
Yordan Alvarez UTIL 5.0 $5.1k 1.0
Cam Smith UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Alan Roden UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Brendon Little UTIL 2.9 $4.0k 0.7
George Springer UTIL 2.0 $4.4k 0.5
Chris Bassitt UTIL 4.0 $9.0k 0.4
Bryan King UTIL 0.8 $4.0k 0.2
Yariel Rodríguez UTIL 0.5 $7.8k 0.1
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
WIN
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+405 · $405 per $100
LOSS
TOR 50% 50% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.7% 19.3%
6.5 72.4% 27.6%
7.5 62.7% 37.3%
8.5 54.8% 45.2%
9.5 43.8% 56.2%
10.5 37.1% 62.9%
11.5 29.3% 70.7%
12.5 23.6% 76.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversTOR covers
HOU -1.5 37.3% 36.1%
HOU -2.5 26.4% 28.0%
HOU -3.5 16.8% 20.4%
Team Totals
LineHOUTOR
O 3.5 61.1% 63.0%
O 4.5 47.6% 48.8%
O 5.5 34.5% 36.0%
O 6.5 24.0% 26.0%
Odds
moneyline HOU 50% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookTORImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs TOR 4.3 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs HOU 3.8 BET ✗
BookTORHOU
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -105 U 7.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
George Springer RF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 7.6 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
Nathan Lukes RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.0 —
Alejandro Kirk C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.9 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Will Wagner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.7 —
Ernie Clement 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
Alan Roden LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chris Bassitt Starter 5.9 5.9 5.8 2.0 3.0 46% 100% 16.6 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.7 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.2 —
Yainer Diaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.8 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ronel Blanco Starter 5.2 4.7 5.1 2.2 2.8 46% 100% 16.4 —