St. Louis Cardinals
47% win
10
pred 4.8
FINAL
Atlanta Braves
53% win
4
pred 3.5
2025-04-22 Truist Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Lars Nootbaar UTIL 30.0 $4.5k 6.7
Victor Scott II UTIL 23.0 $3.6k 6.4
Willson Contreras UTIL 12.0 $3.2k 3.8
Alec Burleson UTIL 10.0 $2.8k 3.6
Matt Olson UTIL 16.0 $4.5k 3.6
Nolan Gorman UTIL 11.0 $3.3k 3.3
Sean Murphy UTIL 14.0 $4.4k 3.2
Jarred Kelenic UTIL 7.0 $2.2k 3.2
Masyn Winn UTIL 9.0 $3.2k 2.8
Austin Riley UTIL 13.0 $4.8k 2.7
Alex Verdugo UTIL 9.0 $3.4k 2.7
Aaron Bummer UTIL 9.9 $4.0k 2.5
Jordan Walker UTIL 6.0 $3.1k 1.9
Dylan Lee UTIL 7.8 $4.0k 1.9
Marcell Ozuna UTIL 8.0 $4.5k 1.8
Steven Matz UTIL 12.8 $7.7k 1.7
Pedro Pagés UTIL 5.0 $3.4k 1.5
Kyle Leahy UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Ryan Helsley UTIL 3.1 $4.0k 0.8
Ozzie Albies UTIL 3.0 $4.8k 0.6
Nolan Arenado UTIL 2.0 $4.3k 0.5
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Atlanta Braves ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+403 · $403 per $100
LOSS
STL 47% 53% ATL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.2% 17.8%
6.5 74.1% 25.9%
7.5 65.2% 34.8%
8.5 57.8% 42.2%
9.5 48.5% 51.5%
10.5 40.4% 59.6%
11.5 31.3% 68.7%
12.5 24.3% 75.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineATL coversSTL covers
ATL -1.5 35.2% 38.4%
ATL -2.5 25.5% 28.1%
ATL -3.5 18.4% 20.9%
Team Totals
LineATLSTL
O 3.5 62.2% 64.3%
O 4.5 49.7% 49.4%
O 5.5 37.4% 37.2%
O 6.5 26.7% 28.0%
Odds
moneyline ATL 53% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookSTLImpl%ATLImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs STL 4.8 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs ATL 3.5 BET ✓
BookSTLATL
DraftKings +1.5 -166 -1.5 +140
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -115 U 8.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.3 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 8.3 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.3 —
Nolan Gorman 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.2 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
Masyn Winn SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.2 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.1 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andre Pallante Starter 5.6 4.9 5.6 2.2 3.1 46% 100% 10.7 —
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Austin Riley 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.4 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.9 —
Matt Olson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.8 —
Alex Verdugo CF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.9 —
Michael Harris II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.6 —
Sean Murphy C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Jarred Kelenic LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Orlando Arcia SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Scott Blewett Starter 4.1 4.3 4.2 1.5 2.2 19% 100% 11.5 —