Seattle Mariners
52% win
3
pred 4.8
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
48% win
8
pred 4.4
2025-04-22 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Pavin Smith UTIL 25.0 $4.6k 5.4
Tim Tawa UTIL 14.0 $2.7k 5.2
Brandon Pfaadt UTIL 22.5 $8.2k 2.7
Corbin Carroll UTIL 11.0 $6.1k 1.8
Josh Naylor UTIL 8.0 $5.1k 1.6
Geraldo Perdomo UTIL 7.0 $4.6k 1.5
Gabriel Moreno UTIL 3.0 $2.9k 1.0
Eugenio Suárez UTIL 2.0 $4.5k 0.4
Ryan Thompson UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Jalen Beeks UTIL 1.1 $7.2k 0.2
Best Bets
Seattle Mariners
ML ★ · +5.9% edge
+110 · $100 bet · $110 profit
Model: 52% vs Market: 46%
LOSS
Predictions
Seattle Mariners
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 46%
+110 · $110 per $100
LOSS
Seattle Mariners +1.5
RL · 1.9 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.2 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Seattle Mariners ML + Seattle Mariners +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+518 · $518 per $100
LOSS
SEA 52% 48% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.0% 15.0%
6.5 80.2% 19.8%
7.5 69.8% 30.2%
8.5 60.9% 39.1%
9.5 51.5% 48.5%
10.5 45.3% 54.7%
11.5 37.0% 63.0%
12.5 30.4% 69.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversSEA covers
BOS -1.5 32.1% 39.7%
BOS -2.5 23.0% 29.3%
BOS -3.5 16.5% 21.2%
Team Totals
LineBOSSEA
O 3.5 64.2% 68.8%
O 4.5 51.0% 56.4%
O 5.5 37.9% 43.4%
O 6.5 28.6% 32.9%
Odds
moneyline SEA 52% · +110 · $110 per $100
BookSEAImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Seattle Mariners +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.4 − 1.5 = 2.9 vs SEA 4.8 no bet
SEA +1.5: SEA 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs BOS 4.4 BET ✗
BookSEABOS
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -105 U 9.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Seattle Mariners
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Julio Rodríguez CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.9 —
Jorge Polanco 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Cal Raleigh C 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 8.4 —
Luke Raley RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Randy Arozarena LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 7.8 —
Rowdy Tellez 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.6 —
J.P. Crawford SS 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 6.7 —
Miles Mastrobuoni 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.7 6.5 —
Dylan Moore 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bryce Miller Starter 5.5 5.5 5.5 2.2 3.0 48% 100% 15.1 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.5 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.4 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 8.6 —
Trevor Story SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 8.2 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.2 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brayan Bello Starter 5.2 5.2 5.3 2.3 3.1 40% 100% 17.9 —