Cincinnati Reds
44% win
3
pred 4.3
FINAL
Miami Marlins
56% win
4
pred 5.1
2025-04-22 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Agustín Ramírez OF 7.4 $2.0k 3.7
Jesús Sánchez OF 8.6 $3.2k 2.7
Nick Martinez SP 18.6 $7.0k 2.7
Gavin Lux OF 9.1 $3.5k 2.6
Eric Wagaman OF 8.1 $3.1k 2.6
Noelvi Marte OF 7.5 $3.1k 2.4
Edward Cabrera SP 14.7 $6.5k 2.3
Jake Fraley OF 7.6 $3.4k 2.2
Austin Hays OF 8.6 $4.0k 2.2
Jeimer Candelario OF 7.3 $3.4k 2.1
Matt Mervis OF 7.4 $3.5k 2.1
Connor Norby OF 6.5 $3.3k 2.0
Jose Trevino OF 7.3 $3.7k 2.0
Dane Myers OF 5.6 $2.9k 1.9
TJ Friedl OF 8.4 $4.4k 1.9
Matt McLain OF 10.0 $5.3k 1.9
Kyle Stowers OF 7.2 $4.0k 1.8
Elly De La Cruz OF 9.8 $5.8k 1.7
Otto Lopez OF 6.2 $3.7k 1.7
Xavier Edwards OF 7.2 $4.5k 1.6
Best Bets
Miami Marlins
ML ★★ · +9.0% edge
+102 · $200 bet · $204 profit
Model: 56% vs Market: 47%
WIN
Predictions
Miami Marlins
ML · Model 56% vs Mkt 47%
+102 · $102 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.3 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+518 · $518 per $100
LOSS
CIN 44% 56% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.2% 14.8%
6.5 78.6% 21.4%
7.5 69.1% 30.9%
8.5 62.0% 38.0%
9.5 52.6% 47.4%
10.5 44.4% 55.6%
11.5 35.8% 64.2%
12.5 29.1% 70.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversCIN covers
MIA -1.5 31.3% 42.0%
MIA -2.5 22.8% 32.2%
MIA -3.5 16.0% 24.1%
Team Totals
LineMIACIN
O 3.5 63.9% 68.0%
O 4.5 49.3% 55.2%
O 5.5 36.2% 43.2%
O 6.5 25.2% 32.9%
Odds
moneyline MIA 56% · +102 · $102 per $100
BookCINImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -122 52.6% +102 47.4%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs MIA 5.1 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs CIN 4.3 BET ✓
BookCINMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.2 10.0 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.2 9.8 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.1 —
Austin Hays LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 8.4 —
Jake Fraley RF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 7.6 —
Noelvi Marte OF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Jose Trevino C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.3 —
Jeimer Candelario 3B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Martinez Starter 5.8 6.0 6.0 1.9 3.1 51% 100% 18.6 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Sánchez RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 8.6 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Agustín Ramírez C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 7.2 —
Connor Norby 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Otto Lopez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.2 —
Dane Myers CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Edward Cabrera Starter 5.5 6.1 5.4 2.6 3.2 42% 100% 14.7 —