San Diego Padres
49% win
2
pred 3.8
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
51% win
0
pred 4.1
2025-04-22 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Mason McCoy OF 6.4 $2.0k 3.2
Oscar Gonzalez OF 7.3 $2.3k 3.2
Tyler Wade OF 6.8 $2.2k 3.1
Elias Díaz OF 6.9 $2.3k 3.0
Justyn-Henry Malloy OF 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Jace Jung OF 6.4 $2.4k 2.7
Gavin Sheets OF 8.0 $3.5k 2.3
Kerry Carpenter OF 9.1 $4.0k 2.3
Jose Iglesias OF 6.7 $3.1k 2.2
Trey Sweeney OF 6.5 $3.1k 2.1
Xander Bogaerts OF 8.9 $4.3k 2.1
Riley Greene OF 8.0 $3.9k 2.0
Gleyber Torres OF 8.0 $4.1k 2.0
Nick Pivetta SP 18.6 $9.6k 1.9
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.0 $4.3k 1.9
Manny Machado OF 9.9 $5.4k 1.8
Javier Báez OF 6.1 $3.5k 1.7
Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 10.6 $6.3k 1.7
Jack Flaherty SP 15.0 $9.0k 1.7
Dillon Dingler OF 6.6 $4.1k 1.6
Predictions
Detroit Tigers
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 51%
-115 · $87 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+443 · $443 per $100
LOSS
SD 49% 51% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 77.5% 22.5%
6.5 71.2% 28.8%
7.5 60.1% 39.9%
8.5 51.1% 48.9%
9.5 41.2% 58.8%
10.5 33.4% 66.6%
11.5 25.6% 74.4%
12.5 19.7% 80.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversSD covers
DET -1.5 29.0% 44.5%
DET -2.5 20.9% 34.3%
DET -3.5 13.2% 25.0%
Team Totals
LineDETSD
O 3.5 54.3% 62.5%
O 4.5 41.5% 50.6%
O 5.5 28.9% 36.8%
O 6.5 17.8% 27.4%
Odds
moneyline DET 51% · -115 · $87 per $100
BookSDImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings -105 48.9% -115 51.1%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs DET 4.1 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 4.1 + 1.5 = 5.6 vs SD 3.8 BET ✗
BookSDDET
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -102 U 7.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.5 1.1 10.6 —
Manny Machado 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.9 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Gavin Sheets LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Oscar Gonzalez RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.3 —
Elias Díaz C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Tyler Wade SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.8 —
Jose Iglesias SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Mason McCoy SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Pivetta Starter 5.6 6.3 5.2 2.1 2.8 53% 100% 18.6 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 9.1 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Riley Greene LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.0 —
Justyn-Henry Malloy LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.0 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.6 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Jace Jung 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.1 6.4 —
Javier Báez CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jack Flaherty Starter 5.4 5.6 5.5 2.2 3.0 39% 100% 15.0 —