St. Louis Cardinals
34% win
6
pred 5
FINAL
Atlanta Braves
66% win
7
pred 3.4
2025-04-21 Truist Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Victor Scott II UTIL 22.0 $3.5k 6.3
Willson Contreras UTIL 19.0 $3.3k 5.8
Austin Riley UTIL 23.0 $5.0k 4.6
Sean Murphy UTIL 18.0 $4.6k 3.9
Nolan Gorman UTIL 12.0 $3.6k 3.3
Pedro Pagés UTIL 12.0 $3.6k 3.3
Matt Olson UTIL 9.0 $4.8k 1.9
Michael Harris II UTIL 8.0 $4.4k 1.8
Erick Fedde UTIL 10.7 $6.0k 1.8
Spencer Schwellenbach UTIL 17.0 $9.5k 1.8
Marcell Ozuna UTIL 8.0 $4.7k 1.7
Nolan Arenado UTIL 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Daysbel Hernández UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Alex Verdugo UTIL 4.0 $3.3k 1.2
Brendan Donovan UTIL 5.0 $4.4k 1.1
Kyle Leahy UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Ozzie Albies UTIL 4.0 $4.9k 0.8
Eli White UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Alec Burleson UTIL 2.0 $3.0k 0.7
JoJo Romero UTIL 0.9 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 66% vs Mkt 63%
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 3.2 off line
-135 · $74 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Atlanta Braves ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+405 · $405 per $100
LOSS
STL 34% 66% ATL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.5% 18.5%
6.5 74.2% 25.8%
7.5 64.2% 35.8%
8.5 55.1% 44.9%
9.5 45.4% 54.6%
10.5 38.0% 62.0%
11.5 29.6% 70.4%
12.5 22.5% 77.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineATL coversSTL covers
ATL -1.5 40.8% 31.2%
ATL -2.5 29.0% 21.8%
ATL -3.5 20.8% 15.0%
Team Totals
LineATLSTL
O 3.5 64.8% 58.6%
O 4.5 51.1% 45.5%
O 5.5 37.9% 30.8%
O 6.5 27.3% 21.5%
Odds
moneyline ATL 66% · -192 · $52 per $100
BookSTLImpl%ATLImpl%
DraftKings +160 36.9% -192 63.1%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -135 · $74 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs STL 5.0 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs ATL 3.4 BET ✓
BookSTLATL
DraftKings +1.5 -135 -1.5 +114
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -112 U 8.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 9.1 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.4 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.3 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
Nolan Gorman 2B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.2 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Erick Fedde Starter 5.5 5.0 5.6 2.3 3.2 39% 100% 9.7 —
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Olson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 11.7 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 11.1 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.9 10.7 —
Alex Verdugo CF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.8 —
Michael Harris II CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.7 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 8.9 —
Jarred Kelenic LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Sean Murphy C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Nick Allen SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Schwellenbach Starter 6.1 6.0 5.7 1.8 2.9 55% 100% 19.3 —