San Diego Padres
47% win
4
pred 4.4
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
53% win
6
pred 3.8
2025-04-21 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Zach McKinstry UTIL 22.0 $3.9k 5.6
Gavin Sheets UTIL 17.0 $3.4k 5.0
Gleyber Torres UTIL 15.0 $4.6k 3.3
Brenan Hanifee UTIL 11.9 $4.0k 3.0
Colt Keith UTIL 7.0 $3.1k 2.3
Logan Gillaspie UTIL 7.8 $4.0k 2.0
Javier Báez UTIL 7.0 $3.7k 1.9
Tyler Wade UTIL 4.0 $2.2k 1.8
Riley Greene UTIL 7.0 $4.3k 1.6
Jose Iglesias UTIL 4.0 $2.9k 1.4
Manny Machado UTIL 7.0 $5.2k 1.4
Yuki Matsui UTIL 5.3 $4.0k 1.3
Xander Bogaerts UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Fernando Tatis Jr. UTIL 7.0 $6.0k 1.2
Spencer Torkelson UTIL 5.0 $4.5k 1.1
Will Vest UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Tirso Ornelas UTIL 2.0 $2.0k 1.0
Justyn-Henry Malloy UTIL 2.0 $2.6k 0.8
Brant Hurter UTIL 5.2 $7.3k 0.7
Wandy Peralta UTIL 2.4 $4.0k 0.6
Trey Sweeney UTIL 2.0 $3.4k 0.6
Keider Montero UTIL 3.8 $6.5k 0.6
Predictions
Detroit Tigers
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 56%
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
San Diego Padres +1.5
RL · 2.0 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers ML + San Diego Padres +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+406 · $406 per $100
LOSS
SD 47% 53% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.0% 19.0%
6.5 73.7% 26.3%
7.5 63.8% 36.2%
8.5 56.6% 43.4%
9.5 45.6% 54.4%
10.5 37.9% 62.1%
11.5 28.2% 71.8%
12.5 23.1% 76.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversSD covers
DET -1.5 31.6% 41.2%
DET -2.5 22.5% 30.6%
DET -3.5 15.8% 22.5%
Team Totals
LineDETSD
O 3.5 59.4% 63.6%
O 4.5 44.4% 51.9%
O 5.5 33.1% 39.6%
O 6.5 22.6% 28.8%
Odds
moneyline DET 53% · -142 · $70 per $100
BookSDImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings +120 43.7% -142 56.3%
runline San Diego Padres +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
DET -1.5: DET 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs SD 4.4 no bet
SD +1.5: SD 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs DET 3.8 BET ✗
BookSDDET
DraftKings +1.5 -180 -1.5 +150
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -112 U 8.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 10.6 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.4 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.1 —
Gavin Sheets LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Tyler Wade SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Tirso Ornelas LF 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Martín Maldonado C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
Oscar Gonzalez RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.4 —
Jose Iglesias SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.7 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Randy Vásquez Starter 5.7 4.8 5.7 2.5 3.0 51% 100% 12.2 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Riley Greene LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.9 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 9.7 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.6 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.3 —
Colt Keith 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.8 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.2 —
Jace Jung 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.8 7.1 —
Tomás Nido C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Keider Montero Starter 5.2 4.6 5.6 1.8 3.0 40% 100% 14.4 —