New York Yankees
48% win
4
pred 3.9
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
52% win
6
pred 4.3
2025-04-21 Progressive Field 0°F
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 48%
+100 · $100 per $100
WIN
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-166 · $60 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+512 · $512 per $100
LOSS
NYY 48% 52% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.0% 16.0%
6.5 76.9% 23.1%
7.5 66.5% 33.5%
8.5 58.7% 41.3%
9.5 48.5% 51.5%
10.5 41.1% 58.9%
11.5 30.0% 70.0%
12.5 23.8% 76.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversNYY covers
CLE -1.5 36.5% 35.8%
CLE -2.5 25.6% 27.1%
CLE -3.5 17.9% 19.3%
Team Totals
LineCLENYY
O 3.5 63.5% 62.3%
O 4.5 48.9% 50.2%
O 5.5 36.4% 39.0%
O 6.5 25.9% 27.1%
Odds
moneyline CLE 52% · +100 · $100 per $100
BookNYYImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -120 52.2% +100 47.8%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -166 · $60 per $100
NYY -1.5: NYY 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs CLE 4.3 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs NYY 3.9 BET ✓
BookNYYCLE
DraftKings -1.5 +140 +1.5 -166
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -112 U 8.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Yankees
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Aaron Judge RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.6 1.1 10.0 —
Austin Wells C 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 9.2 —
Cody Bellinger LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.5 —
Paul Goldschmidt 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Jasson Domínguez CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Anthony Volpe SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Oswaldo Cabrera LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Pablo Reyes LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Clarke Schmidt Starter 5.2 4.9 5.4 2.1 3.0 42% 100% 12.1 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.6 —
Nolan Jones 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.2 8.5 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
José Ramírez 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.7 8.5 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.9 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.3 —
Bo Naylor C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gavin Williams Starter 5.6 5.4 5.3 2.6 3.1 47% 100% 15.6 —