San Diego Padres
50% win
3
pred 4.7
FINAL
Houston Astros
50% win
2
pred 4
2025-04-20 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Victor Caratini OF 7.7 $2.4k 3.2
Yuli Gurriel OF 6.4 $2.2k 2.9
Oscar Gonzalez OF 6.2 $2.3k 2.7
Mauricio Dubón OF 5.6 $2.1k 2.7
Tyler Wade OF 5.2 $2.1k 2.5
Cam Smith OF 6.0 $2.4k 2.5
Jake Meyers OF 6.4 $2.7k 2.4
Framber Valdez SP 21.2 $9.2k 2.3
Martín Maldonado OF 5.7 $2.5k 2.3
Yordan Alvarez OF 11.1 $5.3k 2.1
Jose Iglesias OF 6.0 $3.0k 2.0
Jeremy Peña OF 7.7 $3.9k 2.0
Isaac Paredes OF 8.3 $4.2k 2.0
Christian Walker OF 8.2 $4.3k 1.9
Xander Bogaerts OF 7.2 $4.2k 1.7
Manny Machado OF 8.7 $5.4k 1.6
Dylan Cease SP 14.5 $9.5k 1.5
Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 9.3 $6.3k 1.5
Luis Arraez OF 5.4 $3.8k 1.4
Jose Altuve OF 7.9 $5.5k 1.4
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 46%
+110 · $110 per $100
WIN
San Diego Padres +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-205 · $49 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres ML + San Diego Padres +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+496 · $496 per $100
LOSS
SD 50% 50% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.4% 18.6%
6.5 74.4% 25.6%
7.5 64.0% 36.0%
8.5 56.0% 44.0%
9.5 46.8% 53.2%
10.5 38.4% 61.6%
11.5 30.8% 69.2%
12.5 25.4% 74.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversSD covers
HOU -1.5 34.8% 37.5%
HOU -2.5 24.9% 27.5%
HOU -3.5 16.2% 19.6%
Team Totals
LineHOUSD
O 3.5 61.2% 63.0%
O 4.5 47.5% 50.1%
O 5.5 34.5% 39.4%
O 6.5 23.7% 27.9%
Odds
moneyline SD 50% · +110 · $110 per $100
BookSDImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline San Diego Padres +1.5 · -205 · $49 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs SD 4.7 no bet
SD +1.5: SD 4.7 + 1.5 = 6.2 vs HOU 4.0 BET ✓
BookSDHOU
DraftKings +1.5 -205 -1.5 +170
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 +105 U 7.5 -125
Player Projections actual (projected)
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 7.2 —
Yuli Gurriel 1B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.4 —
Oscar Gonzalez RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.2 —
Jose Iglesias SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.0 —
Martín Maldonado C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.7 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.4 —
Tyler Wade SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Dylan Cease Starter 5.7 6.0 5.7 2.3 3.1 47% 100% 14.5 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.1 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 8.3 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.0 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Framber Valdez Starter 5.7 5.4 5.9 2.1 3.0 47% 100% 21.2 —