Miami Marlins
34% win
7
pred 5.2
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
66% win
5
pred 3.8
2025-04-20 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Javier Sanoja UTIL 30.0 $2.5k 12.0
Connor Norby UTIL 20.0 $3.3k 6.1
Dane Myers UTIL 15.0 $2.8k 5.4
Trea Turner UTIL 17.0 $5.2k 3.3
Bryce Harper UTIL 14.0 $5.4k 2.6
Ben Casparius UTIL 9.8 $4.0k 2.4
Jesús Luzardo UTIL 23.0 $9.5k 2.4
Bryson Stott UTIL 10.0 $4.2k 2.4
Kyle Stowers UTIL 8.0 $3.8k 2.1
Alec Bohm UTIL 7.0 $3.5k 2.0
Matt Mervis UTIL 7.0 $3.5k 2.0
Nick Castellanos UTIL 9.0 $4.7k 1.9
Tyler Glasnow UTIL 18.6 $10.1k 1.8
Rafael Marchán UTIL 5.0 $3.0k 1.7
Otto Lopez UTIL 5.0 $4.0k 1.3
Will Smith UTIL 5.0 $4.3k 1.2
Johan Rojas UTIL 3.0 $2.6k 1.2
Eric Wagaman UTIL 3.0 $2.9k 1.0
Teoscar Hernández UTIL 5.0 $5.0k 1.0
Freddie Freeman UTIL 4.0 $5.3k 0.8
Anthony Banda UTIL 2.9 $4.0k 0.7
Luis García UTIL 2.9 $4.0k 0.7
Calvin Faucher UTIL 5.1 $7.3k 0.7
Evan Phillips UTIL 2.8 $4.0k 0.7
Connor Gillispie UTIL 3.9 $5.9k 0.7
Max Kepler UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
Jesus Tinoco UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Michael Conforto UTIL 2.0 $4.0k 0.5
Tanner Scott UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Mookie Betts UTIL 2.0 $5.9k 0.3
Kyle Schwarber UTIL 2.0 $6.1k 0.3
Shohei Ohtani UTIL 2.0 $6.4k 0.3
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 66% vs Mkt 74%
-340 · $29 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.9 off line
+124 · $124 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+453 · $453 per $100
LOSS
MIA 34% 66% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.8% 15.2%
6.5 79.3% 20.7%
7.5 68.3% 31.7%
8.5 62.0% 38.0%
9.5 52.9% 47.1%
10.5 46.1% 53.9%
11.5 36.3% 63.7%
12.5 29.3% 70.7%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversMIA covers
PHI -1.5 44.8% 27.7%
PHI -2.5 34.7% 21.8%
PHI -3.5 25.6% 16.1%
Team Totals
LinePHIMIA
O 3.5 71.3% 59.1%
O 4.5 59.1% 46.3%
O 5.5 47.4% 35.5%
O 6.5 35.0% 26.5%
Odds
moneyline PHI 66% · -340 · $29 per $100
BookMIAImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings +270 25.9% -340 74.1%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · +124 · $124 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs MIA 5.2 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs PHI 3.8 BET ✓
BookMIAPHI
DraftKings +1.5 +124 -1.5 -148
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -105 U 8.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Eric Wagaman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Connor Norby 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.3 7.8 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.6 —
Otto Lopez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Dane Myers CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.0 —
Rob Brantly C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Connor Gillispie Starter 5.4 5.0 5.6 2.2 3.4 35% 100% 8.9 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.8 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 11.9 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.7 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.1 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.0 8.7 —
Max Kepler RF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Rafael Marchán C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.6 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Johan Rojas CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Luzardo Starter 5.7 6.2 5.6 1.9 2.8 58% 100% 19.8 —