Chicago White Sox
35% win
3
pred 5.2
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
65% win
4
pred 3.3
2025-04-19 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Chase Meidroth OF 7.9 $2.3k 3.4
Edgar Quero OF 6.9 $2.1k 3.3
Carlos Narváez OF 8.3 $2.6k 3.2
Andrew Vaughn OF 7.6 $2.8k 2.7
Triston Casas OF 8.9 $3.3k 2.7
Jacob Amaya OF 5.5 $2.1k 2.6
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 7.0 $2.9k 2.4
Andrew Benintendi OF 7.8 $3.3k 2.4
Lenyn Sosa OF 7.4 $3.2k 2.3
Kristian Campbell OF 8.9 $3.9k 2.3
Miguel Vargas OF 6.4 $2.8k 2.3
Alex Bregman OF 11.3 $5.0k 2.3
Rafael Devers OF 11.1 $4.9k 2.3
Wilyer Abreu OF 10.2 $4.7k 2.2
Michael A. Taylor OF 6.1 $3.0k 2.0
Trevor Story OF 8.8 $4.3k 2.0
Jarren Duran OF 10.2 $5.3k 1.9
Luis Robert Jr. OF 7.5 $4.1k 1.8
Garrett Crochet SP 18.8 $10.5k 1.8
Shane Smith SP 9.7 $6.5k 1.5
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 65% vs Mkt 74%
-340 · $29 per $100
WIN
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 3.4 off line
+136 · $136 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+483 · $483 per $100
LOSS
CWS 35% 65% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 67.2% 32.8%
6.5 58.7% 41.3%
7.5 48.0% 52.0%
8.5 40.3% 59.7%
9.5 31.0% 69.0%
10.5 25.6% 74.4%
11.5 19.3% 80.7%
12.5 14.6% 85.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversCWS covers
BOS -1.5 39.2% 29.4%
BOS -2.5 28.7% 21.0%
BOS -3.5 19.2% 14.4%
Team Totals
LineBOSCWS
O 3.5 54.2% 46.3%
O 4.5 41.0% 32.7%
O 5.5 28.3% 23.5%
O 6.5 18.3% 16.5%
Odds
moneyline BOS 65% · -340 · $29 per $100
BookCWSImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +270 25.9% -340 74.1%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · +136 · $136 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 3.3 − 1.5 = 1.8 vs CWS 5.2 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs BOS 3.3 BET ✓
BookCWSBOS
DraftKings +1.5 +136 -1.5 -162
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -122 U 8.5 +102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chase Meidroth SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.1 7.9 —
Andrew Benintendi LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Andrew Vaughn 1B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.6 —
Luis Robert Jr. CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.3 7.5 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Edgar Quero C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
Miguel Vargas 3B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.4 —
Michael A. Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.1 —
Jacob Amaya SS 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.2 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shane Smith Starter 5.8 5.3 4.9 2.5 2.6 40% 100% 9.7 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 11.3 —
Rafael Devers DH 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 11.1 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 10.2 —
Jarren Duran LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.0 10.2 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.9 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.9 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Garrett Crochet Starter 6.5 7.2 5.4 2.4 2.6 56% 100% 18.8 —