Cincinnati Reds
55% win
5
pred 4.1
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
45% win
9
pred 5.1
2025-04-19 Oriole Park at Camden Yards 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Austin Hays OF 10.9 $3.4k 3.2
Santiago Espinal OF 9.0 $2.9k 3.1
Jose Trevino OF 9.3 $3.5k 2.7
Jake Fraley OF 8.5 $3.2k 2.7
Ramón Urías OF 7.7 $3.0k 2.6
Gavin Lux OF 9.0 $3.5k 2.6
Heston Kjerstad OF 8.5 $3.3k 2.6
TJ Friedl OF 11.0 $4.5k 2.4
Matt McLain OF 12.2 $5.3k 2.3
Jeimer Candelario OF 8.3 $3.9k 2.1
Ryan O'Hearn OF 8.4 $4.1k 2.1
Elly De La Cruz OF 11.2 $5.7k 2.0
Gunnar Henderson OF 10.2 $5.4k 1.9
Jackson Holliday OF 7.1 $3.8k 1.9
Hunter Greene SP 17.8 $9.6k 1.9
Tyler O'Neill OF 8.8 $4.8k 1.8
Cedric Mullins OF 9.1 $5.0k 1.8
Adley Rutschman OF 8.4 $4.9k 1.7
Jordan Westburg OF 7.4 $4.7k 1.6
Brandon Young SP 6.5 $6.8k 1.0
Best Bets
Cincinnati Reds
ML ★ · +7.0% edge
-102 · $100 bet · $98 profit
Model: 55% vs Market: 48%
LOSS
Predictions
Cincinnati Reds
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
LOSS
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
RL · 2.5 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.2 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Cincinnati Reds ML + Baltimore Orioles +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+488 · $488 per $100
LOSS
CIN 55% 45% BAL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.4% 18.6%
6.5 75.4% 24.6%
7.5 63.7% 36.3%
8.5 54.4% 45.6%
9.5 45.6% 54.4%
10.5 37.4% 62.6%
11.5 28.0% 72.0%
12.5 21.4% 78.6%
Run Line (margin)
LineBAL coversCIN covers
BAL -1.5 30.8% 42.4%
BAL -2.5 20.7% 32.4%
BAL -3.5 14.0% 23.3%
Team Totals
LineBALCIN
O 3.5 57.0% 66.2%
O 4.5 41.0% 52.8%
O 5.5 29.0% 39.6%
O 6.5 19.7% 29.4%
Odds
moneyline CIN 55% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookCINImpl%BALImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Baltimore Orioles +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
CIN -1.5: CIN 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs BAL 5.1 no bet
BAL +1.5: BAL 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs CIN 4.1 BET ✓
BookCINBAL
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -112 U 9.0 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Cincinnati Reds
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt McLain 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.3 12.2 —
Elly De La Cruz SS 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.3 11.2 —
TJ Friedl CF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 11.0 —
Austin Hays LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 10.9 —
Jose Trevino C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 9.3 —
Gavin Lux 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Santiago Espinal 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 9.0 —
Jake Fraley RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.5 —
Jeimer Candelario 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Greene Starter 6.4 6.9 5.6 2.3 3.0 54% 100% 17.8 —
Baltimore Orioles
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gunnar Henderson SS 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 10.2 —
Cedric Mullins CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.2 9.1 —
Tyler O'Neill RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.8 —
Heston Kjerstad RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.5 —
Ryan O'Hearn 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Adley Rutschman C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Ramón Urías 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Jordan Westburg 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.4 —
Jackson Holliday 2B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brandon Young Starter 5.3 5.0 5.4 2.0 2.9 40% 100% 6.5 —