Arizona Diamondbacks
50% win
2
pred 3.6
FINAL
Chicago Cubs
50% win
6
pred 4.3
2025-04-19 Wrigley Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Tim Tawa OF 7.0 $2.5k 2.8
Gabriel Moreno OF 7.1 $3.2k 2.2
Jon Berti OF 5.7 $2.6k 2.2
Alek Thomas OF 7.7 $3.6k 2.1
Zac Gallen SP 17.5 $8.3k 2.1
Miguel Amaya OF 6.3 $3.1k 2.0
Jake McCarthy OF 6.1 $3.0k 2.0
Pavin Smith OF 9.0 $4.5k 2.0
Geraldo Perdomo OF 8.9 $4.8k 1.9
Ben Brown SP 13.9 $7.6k 1.8
Eugenio Suárez OF 8.7 $4.9k 1.8
Michael Busch OF 8.0 $4.7k 1.7
Ian Happ OF 7.6 $4.6k 1.7
Josh Naylor OF 8.3 $5.2k 1.6
Corbin Carroll OF 9.8 $6.3k 1.6
Dansby Swanson OF 6.9 $4.4k 1.6
Pete Crow-Armstrong OF 6.3 $4.1k 1.5
Seiya Suzuki OF 7.4 $5.3k 1.4
Kyle Tucker OF 8.6 $6.2k 1.4
Nico Hoerner OF 6.2 $4.5k 1.4
Predictions
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 48%
-102 · $98 per $100
LOSS
Chicago Cubs +1.5
RL · 2.2 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Arizona Diamondbacks ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+469 · $469 per $100
LOSS
AZ 50% 50% CHC
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.3% 19.7%
6.5 75.2% 24.8%
7.5 65.3% 34.7%
8.5 58.3% 41.7%
9.5 49.1% 50.9%
10.5 39.8% 60.2%
11.5 32.0% 68.0%
12.5 27.1% 72.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineCHC coversAZ covers
CHC -1.5 35.4% 37.6%
CHC -2.5 26.7% 27.7%
CHC -3.5 18.1% 19.9%
Team Totals
LineCHCAZ
O 3.5 62.2% 63.5%
O 4.5 49.6% 50.3%
O 5.5 37.1% 39.5%
O 6.5 25.8% 29.6%
Odds
moneyline AZ 50% · -102 · $98 per $100
BookAZImpl%CHCImpl%
DraftKings -102 48.3% -118 51.7%
runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs CHC 4.3 no bet
CHC +1.5: CHC 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs AZ 3.6 BET ✓
BookAZCHC
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -112 U 7.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 9.8 —
Pavin Smith 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.1 9.0 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.9 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.7 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
Gabriel Moreno C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Tim Tawa 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.0 —
Jake McCarthy CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Zac Gallen Starter 5.9 6.0 5.8 2.4 3.2 47% 100% 17.5 —
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 8.6 —
Michael Busch 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Ian Happ LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 7.6 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.4 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Miguel Amaya C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 6.2 —
Jon Berti 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ben Brown Starter 5.6 5.5 5.6 2.4 3.0 45% 100% 13.9 —