Kansas City Royals
53% win
1
pred 3.9
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
48% win
3
pred 4
2025-04-19 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Freddy Fermin OF 6.5 $2.0k 3.3
Drew Waters OF 7.2 $2.4k 3.0
Ryan Kreidler OF 5.7 $2.1k 2.7
Jonathan India OF 9.6 $3.7k 2.6
Kyle Isbel OF 6.8 $2.7k 2.5
Kerry Carpenter OF 9.4 $3.9k 2.4
Michael Massey OF 7.4 $3.1k 2.4
Trey Sweeney OF 7.3 $3.1k 2.4
Colt Keith OF 6.8 $2.9k 2.3
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 9.1 $3.9k 2.3
Zach McKinstry OF 7.9 $3.5k 2.2
Seth Lugo SP 16.7 $7.5k 2.2
Salvador Perez OF 8.9 $4.1k 2.2
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.6 $4.1k 2.1
Javier Báez OF 7.0 $3.4k 2.1
Riley Greene OF 8.1 $4.0k 2.0
Dillon Dingler OF 8.0 $4.2k 1.9
Maikel Garcia OF 7.5 $4.2k 1.8
Casey Mize SP 12.1 $7.2k 1.7
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 9.5 $5.9k 1.6
Best Bets
Kansas City Royals
ML ★ · +5.1% edge
+102 · $100 bet · $102 profit
Model: 53% vs Market: 47%
LOSS
Predictions
Kansas City Royals
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 47%
+102 · $102 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 1.7 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + UNDER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+480 · $480 per $100
LOSS
KC 53% 48% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.7% 18.3%
6.5 74.4% 25.6%
7.5 62.5% 37.5%
8.5 55.0% 45.0%
9.5 43.9% 56.1%
10.5 37.2% 62.8%
11.5 29.0% 71.0%
12.5 22.6% 77.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversKC covers
DET -1.5 33.5% 39.3%
DET -2.5 23.4% 29.2%
DET -3.5 17.0% 20.0%
Team Totals
LineDETKC
O 3.5 59.6% 63.2%
O 4.5 45.6% 48.3%
O 5.5 33.3% 36.6%
O 6.5 23.9% 27.3%
Odds
moneyline KC 53% · +102 · $102 per $100
BookKCImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings +102 47.4% -122 52.6%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
KC -1.5: KC 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs DET 4.0 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 4.0 + 1.5 = 5.5 vs KC 3.9 BET ✓
BookKCDET
DraftKings -1.5 +164 +1.5 -198
total Under 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -102 U 8.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.6 —
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.8 9.5 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Salvador Perez C 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.9 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Drew Waters RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Seth Lugo Starter 6.2 6.4 6.0 2.2 3.2 50% 100% 16.7 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kerry Carpenter RF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.4 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.6 —
Riley Greene LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.1 —
Dillon Dingler C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 8.0 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 7.0 —
Colt Keith 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Ryan Kreidler SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Casey Mize Starter 5.7 5.0 5.7 1.9 2.9 46% 100% 12.1 —