Miami Marlins
33% win
10
pred 5.9
FINAL
Philadelphia Phillies
67% win
11
pred 4.8
2025-04-19 Citizens Bank Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jesús Sánchez OF 11.5 $2.7k 4.3
Griffin Conine OF 9.4 $2.5k 3.8
Eric Wagaman OF 11.3 $3.1k 3.6
Liam Hicks OF 7.5 $2.3k 3.3
Matt Mervis OF 10.0 $3.2k 3.1
Johan Rojas OF 7.1 $2.5k 2.8
Kyle Stowers OF 9.9 $3.7k 2.7
Bryce Harper OF 13.4 $5.1k 2.6
Kyle Schwarber OF 15.5 $6.0k 2.6
Nick Castellanos OF 11.8 $4.6k 2.6
Bryson Stott OF 10.5 $4.1k 2.6
Max Kepler OF 9.6 $3.8k 2.5
J.T. Realmuto OF 9.5 $4.1k 2.3
Alec Bohm OF 8.1 $3.7k 2.2
Otto Lopez OF 8.4 $3.9k 2.2
Trea Turner OF 11.2 $5.3k 2.1
Xavier Edwards OF 8.8 $4.6k 1.9
Taijuan Walker SP 9.5 $7.3k 1.3
Cal Quantrill SP 5.5 $6.0k 0.9
Predictions
Philadelphia Phillies
ML · Model 67% vs Mkt 66%
-218 · $46 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-108 · $93 per $100
WIN
OVER 10.5
TOTAL · Proj 10.6 vs Line 10.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 10.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+436 · $436 per $100
WIN
MIA 33% 67% PHI
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 87.2% 12.8%
6.5 81.2% 18.8%
7.5 71.8% 28.2%
8.5 65.4% 34.6%
9.5 54.9% 45.1%
10.5 45.3% 54.7%
11.5 35.6% 64.4%
12.5 29.3% 70.7%
Run Line (margin)
LinePHI coversMIA covers
PHI -1.5 42.2% 32.5%
PHI -2.5 32.1% 25.0%
PHI -3.5 22.5% 17.4%
Team Totals
LinePHIMIA
O 3.5 72.0% 64.3%
O 4.5 58.9% 51.0%
O 5.5 46.0% 38.1%
O 6.5 33.3% 27.3%
Odds
moneyline PHI 67% · -218 · $46 per $100
BookMIAImpl%PHIImpl%
DraftKings +180 34.2% -218 65.8%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -108 · $93 per $100
PHI -1.5: PHI 4.8 − 1.5 = 3.3 vs MIA 5.9 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.9 + 1.5 = 7.4 vs PHI 4.8 BET ✓
BookMIAPHI
DraftKings +1.5 -108 -1.5 -112
total Over 10.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 10.5 -112 U 10.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Sánchez RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 11.5 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 11.3 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 10.0 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.9 —
Griffin Conine LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.4 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Otto Lopez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 8.4 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.0 —
Liam Hicks C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cal Quantrill Starter 5.1 4.6 5.8 2.2 3.5 36% 100% 5.5 —
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 15.5 —
Bryce Harper 1B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.8 13.4 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 11.8 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.8 11.2 —
Bryson Stott 2B 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.9 10.5 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.6 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.5 —
Alec Bohm 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.1 —
Johan Rojas CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Taijuan Walker Starter 5.8 5.7 5.7 2.3 3.2 54% 100% 9.5 —