Chicago White Sox
48% win
3
pred 5.1
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
52% win
10
pred 4.5
2025-04-18 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Trevor Story UTIL 41.0 $4.5k 9.1
Carlos Narváez UTIL 21.0 $2.7k 7.8
Andrew Benintendi UTIL 18.0 $3.3k 5.5
Ceddanne Rafaela UTIL 16.0 $3.0k 5.3
Rob Refsnyder UTIL 15.0 $3.5k 4.3
Hunter Dobbins UTIL 25.7 $6.9k 3.7
Rafael Devers UTIL 11.0 $4.5k 2.4
Edgar Quero UTIL 5.0 $2.1k 2.4
Brooks Baldwin UTIL 5.0 $2.3k 2.2
Andrew Vaughn UTIL 5.0 $2.7k 1.9
Alex Bregman UTIL 8.0 $4.9k 1.6
Jordan Leasure UTIL 5.5 $4.0k 1.4
Lenyn Sosa UTIL 3.0 $3.1k 1.0
Joshua Palacios UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Jarren Duran UTIL 3.0 $5.0k 0.6
Brennan Bernardino UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Kristian Campbell UTIL 2.0 $4.1k 0.5
Josh Winckowski UTIL 0.1 $4.0k 0.0
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 64%
-205 · $49 per $100
WIN
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-120 · $83 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.6 vs Line 9.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Boston Red Sox ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 9.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+421 · $421 per $100
LOSS
CWS 48% 52% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.7% 19.3%
6.5 73.0% 27.0%
7.5 61.7% 38.3%
8.5 51.5% 48.5%
9.5 41.9% 58.1%
10.5 34.6% 65.4%
11.5 28.0% 72.0%
12.5 22.7% 77.3%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversCWS covers
BOS -1.5 40.0% 33.6%
BOS -2.5 26.0% 23.9%
BOS -3.5 17.8% 17.7%
Team Totals
LineBOSCWS
O 3.5 62.4% 57.1%
O 4.5 47.3% 44.8%
O 5.5 35.8% 33.1%
O 6.5 26.3% 23.9%
Odds
moneyline BOS 52% · -205 · $49 per $100
BookCWSImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +170 35.5% -205 64.5%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · -120 · $83 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.5 − 1.5 = 3.0 vs CWS 5.1 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs BOS 4.5 BET ✗
BookCWSBOS
DraftKings +1.5 -120 -1.5 +100
total Over 9.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.5 -102 U 9.5 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Benintendi LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 10.4 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 9.5 —
Joshua Palacios RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 9.1 —
Andrew Vaughn 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.9 —
Chase Meidroth SS 0.9 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.7 8.8 —
Nick Maton 2B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.1 8.2 —
Matt Thaiss 1B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.0 7.8 —
Brooks Baldwin 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.2 1.0 7.6 —
Michael A. Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Martín Pérez Starter 5.4 5.2 5.7 2.4 3.2 41% 100% 10.8 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 10.6 —
Rob Refsnyder RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.8 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.7 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.3 —
Trevor Story SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Romy Gonzalez SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.9 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Dobbins Starter 5.3 5.1 5.0 2.2 2.6 47% 100% 13.0 —