Kansas City Royals
58% win
3
pred 3.6
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
42% win
7
pred 4.4
2025-04-18 Comerica Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Drew Waters OF 7.5 $2.2k 3.4
Justyn-Henry Malloy OF 7.6 $2.3k 3.3
Hunter Renfroe OF 8.2 $2.6k 3.2
Tomás Nido OF 6.2 $2.0k 3.1
Michael Massey OF 8.5 $3.1k 2.7
Jonathan India OF 9.1 $3.7k 2.5
Kyle Isbel OF 6.8 $2.8k 2.4
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 9.7 $4.1k 2.4
Salvador Perez OF 9.3 $4.0k 2.3
Andy Ibáñez OF 7.4 $3.2k 2.3
Cole Ragans SP 21.4 $9.8k 2.2
Kerry Carpenter OF 7.8 $3.9k 2.0
Riley Greene OF 7.8 $4.0k 1.9
Spencer Torkelson OF 8.0 $4.2k 1.9
Gleyber Torres OF 8.0 $4.3k 1.9
Javier Báez OF 6.4 $3.5k 1.8
Maikel Garcia OF 7.9 $4.4k 1.8
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 9.7 $5.9k 1.6
Zach McKinstry OF 5.8 $3.6k 1.6
Jackson Jobe SP 8.5 $7.3k 1.2
Predictions
Kansas City Royals
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 56%
-142 · $70 per $100
LOSS
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 2.3 off line
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+445 · $445 per $100
LOSS
KC 58% 42% DET
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 74.3% 25.7%
6.5 65.3% 34.7%
7.5 54.6% 45.4%
8.5 46.2% 53.8%
9.5 36.3% 63.7%
10.5 28.9% 71.1%
11.5 20.7% 79.3%
12.5 16.6% 83.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineDET coversKC covers
DET -1.5 35.4% 36.2%
DET -2.5 24.9% 27.5%
DET -3.5 16.3% 20.0%
Team Totals
LineDETKC
O 3.5 55.6% 55.3%
O 4.5 40.8% 41.9%
O 5.5 28.6% 31.0%
O 6.5 19.2% 20.7%
Odds
moneyline KC 58% · -142 · $70 per $100
BookKCImpl%DETImpl%
DraftKings -142 56.3% +120 43.7%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -148 · $68 per $100
KC -1.5: KC 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs DET 4.4 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs KC 3.6 BET ✓
BookKCDET
DraftKings -1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -118 U 7.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 9.7 —
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.7 9.7 —
Salvador Perez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.3 —
Jonathan India 2B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.1 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.5 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.2 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.7 7.9 —
Drew Waters RF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.5 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 6.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cole Ragans Starter 6.0 6.7 5.3 2.2 2.7 46% 100% 21.4 —
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.0 —
Kerry Carpenter RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.8 —
Riley Greene LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.3 7.8 —
Justyn-Henry Malloy LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.4 7.6 —
Andy Ibáñez 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Javier Báez CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
Tomás Nido C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Zach McKinstry 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Jobe Starter 5.2 3.9 4.5 2.1 2.4 45% 100% 8.5 —