St. Louis Cardinals
46% win
1
pred 4.4
FINAL
New York Mets
54% win
4
pred 3.8
2025-04-17 Citi Field 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Brett Baty UTIL 12.0 $2.4k 5.0
Griffin Canning UTIL 28.5 $7.4k 3.9
Mark Vientos UTIL 14.0 $3.9k 3.6
Victor Scott II UTIL 10.0 $3.5k 2.9
Brendan Donovan UTIL 10.0 $4.1k 2.4
Francisco Lindor UTIL 11.0 $5.3k 2.1
Tyrone Taylor UTIL 5.0 $2.5k 2.0
Starling Marte UTIL 7.0 $3.9k 1.8
Edwin Díaz UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Alec Burleson UTIL 3.0 $3.0k 1.0
Nolan Arenado UTIL 4.0 $4.4k 0.9
Reed Garrett UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Andre Pallante UTIL 5.3 $8.7k 0.6
A.J. Minter UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Willson Contreras UTIL 2.0 $3.6k 0.6
Nolan Gorman UTIL 2.0 $3.7k 0.5
John King UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Juan Soto UTIL 2.0 $6.0k 0.3
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 55%
-135 · $74 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.2 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
New York Mets ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+405 · $405 per $100
LOSS
STL 46% 54% NYM
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 82.5% 17.5%
6.5 76.1% 23.9%
7.5 66.1% 33.9%
8.5 58.2% 41.8%
9.5 47.4% 52.6%
10.5 41.2% 58.8%
11.5 33.1% 66.9%
12.5 27.0% 73.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineNYM coversSTL covers
NYM -1.5 32.0% 41.7%
NYM -2.5 24.5% 32.3%
NYM -3.5 15.2% 23.6%
Team Totals
LineNYMSTL
O 3.5 61.6% 67.1%
O 4.5 47.2% 55.6%
O 5.5 35.3% 42.4%
O 6.5 23.2% 31.0%
Odds
moneyline NYM 54% · -135 · $74 per $100
BookSTLImpl%NYMImpl%
DraftKings +114 44.9% -135 55.1%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.8 − 1.5 = 2.3 vs STL 4.4 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs NYM 3.8 BET ✗
BookSTLNYM
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -118 U 7.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 9.8 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 8.8 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.7 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.7 7.9 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.9 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.6 —
Nolan Gorman 2B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andre Pallante Starter 5.6 5.0 5.3 2.4 2.9 50% 100% 12.7 —
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 10.4 —
Juan Soto RF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 10.3 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 10.2 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.4 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Luis Torrens C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
Starling Marte LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 7.2 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Griffin Canning Starter 5.1 4.8 5.3 2.2 3.1 40% 100% 14.9 —