Arizona Diamondbacks
55% win
6
pred 3.5
FINAL
Miami Marlins
45% win
4
pred 4.9
2025-04-17 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Tim Tawa OF 7.8 $2.4k 3.3
Rob Brantly OF 5.5 $2.0k 2.8
Jose Herrera OF 7.1 $2.6k 2.7
Griffin Conine OF 6.7 $2.5k 2.7
Eric Wagaman OF 7.2 $3.1k 2.3
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. OF 8.8 $3.8k 2.3
Eduardo Rodriguez SP 19.1 $8.3k 2.3
Connor Norby OF 7.4 $3.2k 2.3
Javier Sanoja OF 5.6 $2.5k 2.3
Dane Myers OF 6.5 $2.9k 2.2
Alek Thomas OF 7.7 $3.5k 2.2
Pavin Smith OF 9.7 $4.5k 2.2
Edward Cabrera SP 14.8 $7.2k 2.1
Otto Lopez OF 7.5 $3.8k 2.0
Eugenio Suárez OF 9.3 $4.8k 2.0
Kyle Stowers OF 7.0 $3.7k 1.9
Corbin Carroll OF 11.0 $6.0k 1.8
Geraldo Perdomo OF 8.5 $4.7k 1.8
Josh Naylor OF 9.1 $5.1k 1.8
Xavier Edwards OF 7.3 $4.5k 1.6
Predictions
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.9 off line
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.4 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Arizona Diamondbacks ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+456 · $456 per $100
LOSS
AZ 55% 45% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.9% 15.1%
6.5 78.8% 21.2%
7.5 68.6% 31.4%
8.5 60.6% 39.4%
9.5 51.0% 49.0%
10.5 44.1% 55.9%
11.5 35.0% 65.0%
12.5 28.2% 71.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversAZ covers
MIA -1.5 29.3% 43.9%
MIA -2.5 19.9% 33.7%
MIA -3.5 13.6% 24.7%
Team Totals
LineMIAAZ
O 3.5 60.8% 69.1%
O 4.5 47.5% 57.3%
O 5.5 35.2% 44.0%
O 6.5 25.4% 33.1%
Odds
moneyline AZ 55% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookAZImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -155 58.3% +130 41.7%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -130 · $77 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs MIA 4.9 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 4.9 + 1.5 = 6.4 vs AZ 3.5 BET ✗
BookAZMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +110 +1.5 -130
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.5 1.1 11.0 —
Pavin Smith 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 9.7 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.3 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.8 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 8.5 —
Tim Tawa 2B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.7 —
Jose Herrera C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Eduardo Rodriguez Starter 5.6 6.0 5.6 1.9 2.9 52% 100% 19.1 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Otto Lopez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
Connor Norby 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.3 7.4 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.0 —
Griffin Conine LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.7 —
Dane Myers CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.5 —
Javier Sanoja 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.6 —
Rob Brantly C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 5.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Edward Cabrera Starter 5.2 5.2 5.0 2.5 3.0 38% 100% 14.8 —