Arizona Diamondbacks
52% win
6
pred 3.6
FINAL
Miami Marlins
48% win
2
pred 5.3
2025-04-16 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Tim Tawa UTIL 14.0 $2.3k 6.1
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. UTIL 16.0 $3.6k 4.4
Matt Mervis UTIL 14.0 $3.2k 4.4
Josh Naylor UTIL 18.0 $4.7k 3.8
Pavin Smith UTIL 17.0 $4.5k 3.8
Gabriel Moreno UTIL 9.0 $3.2k 2.8
Brandon Pfaadt UTIL 22.0 $8.7k 2.5
Max Meyer UTIL 19.3 $8.1k 2.4
Otto Lopez UTIL 9.0 $3.9k 2.3
Jesús Sánchez UTIL 6.0 $2.8k 2.1
Xavier Edwards UTIL 8.0 $4.4k 1.8
Eric Wagaman UTIL 5.0 $3.0k 1.7
Shelby Miller UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Eugenio Suárez UTIL 5.0 $4.7k 1.1
Graham Pauley UTIL 2.0 $2.4k 0.8
Corbin Carroll UTIL 5.0 $6.2k 0.8
Geraldo Perdomo UTIL 3.0 $4.5k 0.7
Alek Thomas UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Kyle Stowers UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Justin Martinez UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Jalen Beeks UTIL 2.8 $7.5k 0.4
A.J. Puk UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Anthony Veneziano UTIL 1.8 $7.1k 0.3
Predictions
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 57%
-148 · $68 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 3.2 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Arizona Diamondbacks ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+445 · $445 per $100
LOSS
AZ 52% 48% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.2% 14.8%
6.5 78.2% 21.8%
7.5 69.9% 30.1%
8.5 61.5% 38.5%
9.5 51.8% 48.2%
10.5 44.1% 55.9%
11.5 35.1% 64.9%
12.5 29.3% 70.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversAZ covers
MIA -1.5 27.7% 46.0%
MIA -2.5 18.9% 35.8%
MIA -3.5 13.9% 29.4%
Team Totals
LineMIAAZ
O 3.5 58.9% 71.6%
O 4.5 44.6% 59.0%
O 5.5 33.1% 46.0%
O 6.5 23.7% 37.3%
Odds
moneyline AZ 52% · -148 · $68 per $100
BookAZImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -148 57.2% +124 42.8%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs MIA 5.3 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.3 + 1.5 = 6.8 vs AZ 3.6 BET ✗
BookAZMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +120 +1.5 -142
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -112 U 8.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.0 12.6 —
Pavin Smith 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 11.0 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 11.0 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 10.5 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.8 —
Josh Naylor 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 9.7 —
Gabriel Moreno C 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.8 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Tim Tawa 2B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Brandon Pfaadt Starter 5.9 5.9 5.9 1.8 3.1 55% 100% 18.1 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Sánchez RF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 9.0 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.5 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 8.3 —
Kyle Stowers LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 8.1 —
Otto Lopez 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.9 —
Griffin Conine LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.7 —
Liam Hicks C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.2 —
Derek Hill CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.1 6.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Max Meyer Starter 5.8 5.3 6.1 2.3 3.6 39% 100% 10.3 —