Chicago Cubs
40% win
2
pred 4.4
FINAL
San Diego Padres
60% win
4
pred 4.1
2025-04-16 Petco Park 0°F
Best Bets
San Diego Padres
ML ★ · +6.9% edge
-125 · $100 bet · $80 profit
Model: 60% vs Market: 53%
WIN
Predictions
San Diego Padres
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
Chicago Cubs +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-205 · $49 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
San Diego Padres ML + Chicago Cubs +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+411 · $411 per $100
LOSS
CHC 40% 60% SD
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.0% 15.0%
6.5 78.5% 21.5%
7.5 67.6% 32.4%
8.5 60.7% 39.3%
9.5 50.0% 50.0%
10.5 42.2% 57.8%
11.5 32.7% 67.3%
12.5 26.2% 73.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineSD coversCHC covers
SD -1.5 37.8% 35.7%
SD -2.5 26.9% 27.8%
SD -3.5 18.7% 19.5%
Team Totals
LineSDCHC
O 3.5 64.4% 64.6%
O 4.5 51.9% 51.9%
O 5.5 40.7% 39.6%
O 6.5 29.8% 29.3%
Odds
moneyline SD 60% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookCHCImpl%SDImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline Chicago Cubs +1.5 · -205 · $49 per $100
SD -1.5: SD 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs CHC 4.4 no bet
CHC +1.5: CHC 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs SD 4.1 BET ✗
BookCHCSD
DraftKings +1.5 -205 -1.5 +170
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -112 U 7.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Chicago Cubs
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Tucker RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 8.9 —
Ian Happ LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 8.1 —
Dansby Swanson SS 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Seiya Suzuki RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 7.3 —
Michael Busch 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.3 —
Carson Kelly C 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.4 —
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Nico Hoerner 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 5.9 —
Jon Berti 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matthew Boyd Starter 5.8 5.6 6.0 2.1 3.1 44% 100% 15.3 —
San Diego Padres
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Fernando Tatis Jr. RF 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.1 9.3 —
Manny Machado 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.0 —
Xander Bogaerts SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Luis Arraez IF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Oscar Gonzalez RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.9 —
Connor Joe OF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
Jose Iglesias SS 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
Elias Díaz C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
Tyler Wade SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Pivetta Starter 5.4 5.7 5.3 2.2 3.1 48% 100% 19.5 —