Houston Astros
60% win
1
pred 4
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
40% win
4
pred 4.2
2025-04-16 Busch Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Yohel Pozo OF 6.7 $2.3k 2.9
Cam Smith OF 7.2 $2.6k 2.8
Alec Burleson OF 7.1 $2.8k 2.5
Brendan Rodgers OF 7.3 $2.9k 2.5
Chas McCormick OF 6.6 $2.7k 2.5
Jake Meyers OF 6.7 $2.8k 2.4
Jeremy Peña OF 8.9 $3.8k 2.4
Yainer Diaz OF 7.5 $3.4k 2.2
Jordan Walker OF 6.7 $3.2k 2.1
Isaac Paredes OF 8.3 $4.0k 2.1
Ronel Blanco SP 16.6 $8.1k 2.1
Brendan Donovan OF 8.2 $4.2k 2.0
Thomas Saggese OF 5.4 $2.8k 1.9
Lars Nootbaar OF 8.9 $4.6k 1.9
Steven Matz SP 11.5 $6.0k 1.9
Willson Contreras OF 7.9 $4.1k 1.9
Christian Walker OF 8.1 $4.3k 1.9
Nolan Arenado OF 7.9 $4.5k 1.8
Victor Scott II OF 5.8 $3.5k 1.7
Jose Altuve OF 8.5 $5.3k 1.6
Best Bets
Houston Astros
ML ★★★ ELITE · +10.2% edge
-108 · $300 bet · $279 profit
Model: 60% vs Market: 50%
LOSS
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 50%
-108 · $93 per $100
LOSS
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 1.7 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+472 · $472 per $100
LOSS
HOU 60% 40% STL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.6% 18.4%
6.5 74.0% 26.0%
7.5 62.2% 37.8%
8.5 56.2% 43.8%
9.5 46.5% 53.5%
10.5 39.3% 60.7%
11.5 30.8% 69.2%
12.5 25.5% 74.5%
Run Line (margin)
LineSTL coversHOU covers
STL -1.5 38.7% 33.8%
STL -2.5 28.9% 24.3%
STL -3.5 19.5% 17.2%
Team Totals
LineSTLHOU
O 3.5 66.2% 58.0%
O 4.5 50.3% 46.6%
O 5.5 38.2% 35.2%
O 6.5 28.7% 25.5%
Odds
moneyline HOU 60% · -108 · $93 per $100
BookHOUImpl%STLImpl%
DraftKings -108 49.6% -112 50.4%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs STL 4.2 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs HOU 4.0 BET ✓
BookHOUSTL
DraftKings -1.5 +150 +1.5 -180
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -115 U 8.0 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jeremy Peña SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.9 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 8.5 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.1 —
Yainer Diaz C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 7.5 —
Brendan Rodgers 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Cam Smith RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.2 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.7 —
Chas McCormick CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ronel Blanco Starter 4.9 4.9 4.9 2.1 2.8 36% 100% 16.6 —
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.0 8.9 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.9 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.9 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.1 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
Yohel Pozo C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 5.8 —
Thomas Saggese 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Steven Matz Starter 4.1 3.6 4.3 1.3 2.2 20% 100% 11.5 —