Detroit Tigers
47% win
1
pred 4.2
FINAL
Milwaukee Brewers
53% win
5
pred 3.9
2025-04-16 American Family Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Tomás Nido OF 6.8 $2.0k 3.4
Justyn-Henry Malloy OF 8.1 $2.6k 3.1
Ryan Kreidler OF 6.0 $2.2k 2.7
Oliver Dunn OF 6.4 $2.4k 2.7
Andy Ibáñez OF 8.1 $3.1k 2.6
Garrett Mitchell OF 7.5 $3.1k 2.4
Javier Báez OF 7.6 $3.2k 2.4
Joey Ortiz OF 6.8 $3.0k 2.3
Trey Sweeney OF 6.8 $3.1k 2.2
Spencer Torkelson OF 9.1 $4.2k 2.2
Jose Quintana SP 16.6 $7.8k 2.1
Gleyber Torres OF 9.1 $4.4k 2.1
William Contreras OF 9.0 $4.4k 2.0
Keider Montero SP 13.2 $6.5k 2.0
Rhys Hoskins OF 8.1 $4.0k 2.0
Sal Frelick OF 7.4 $3.7k 2.0
Riley Greene OF 8.2 $4.3k 1.9
Jackson Chourio OF 10.0 $5.4k 1.8
Christian Yelich OF 8.8 $5.0k 1.8
Brice Turang OF 8.6 $4.9k 1.8
Predictions
Milwaukee Brewers
ML · Model 53% vs Mkt 56%
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
Detroit Tigers +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-175 · $57 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Milwaukee Brewers ML + Detroit Tigers +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+411 · $411 per $100
LOSS
DET 47% 53% MIL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.8% 19.2%
6.5 75.1% 24.9%
7.5 65.9% 34.1%
8.5 57.8% 42.2%
9.5 47.0% 53.0%
10.5 39.2% 60.8%
11.5 30.4% 69.6%
12.5 23.3% 76.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIL coversDET covers
MIL -1.5 37.3% 35.4%
MIL -2.5 25.7% 26.4%
MIL -3.5 17.3% 19.5%
Team Totals
LineMILDET
O 3.5 63.3% 62.4%
O 4.5 49.5% 47.3%
O 5.5 36.9% 36.9%
O 6.5 25.2% 28.3%
Odds
moneyline MIL 53% · -142 · $70 per $100
BookDETImpl%MILImpl%
DraftKings +120 43.7% -142 56.3%
runline Detroit Tigers +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100
MIL -1.5: MIL 3.9 − 1.5 = 2.4 vs DET 4.2 no bet
DET +1.5: DET 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs MIL 3.9 BET ✗
BookDETMIL
DraftKings +1.5 -175 -1.5 +145
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -105 U 8.5 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Detroit Tigers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Torkelson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.1 —
Gleyber Torres 2B 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.1 —
Riley Greene LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.2 —
Andy Ibáñez 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Justyn-Henry Malloy LF 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.2 8.1 —
Javier Báez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.6 —
Trey Sweeney SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Tomás Nido C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Ryan Kreidler SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Keider Montero Starter 5.2 5.0 5.3 2.1 2.9 42% 100% 13.2 —
Milwaukee Brewers
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jackson Chourio LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 10.0 —
William Contreras C 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.0 —
Christian Yelich LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 8.8 —
Brice Turang 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.9 8.6 —
Rhys Hoskins 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.1 —
Garrett Mitchell CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 7.5 —
Sal Frelick RF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 7.4 —
Joey Ortiz SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 6.8 —
Oliver Dunn 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jose Quintana Starter 5.4 5.4 5.1 2.0 2.7 46% 100% 16.6 —