New York Mets
54% win
3
pred 3.5
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
46% win
4
pred 4.8
2025-04-16 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Huascar Brazobán SP 13.7 $4.0k 3.4
Brett Baty OF 6.7 $2.3k 2.9
Hayden Senger OF 6.4 $2.2k 2.9
Tyrone Taylor OF 7.5 $2.6k 2.9
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. OF 5.1 $2.0k 2.6
Jesse Winker OF 8.0 $3.1k 2.6
Edouard Julien OF 7.3 $3.1k 2.4
Trevor Larnach OF 7.5 $3.2k 2.3
Brooks Lee OF 5.7 $2.5k 2.3
Luisangel Acuña OF 7.1 $3.3k 2.2
Ty France OF 7.1 $3.3k 2.2
Brandon Nimmo OF 8.5 $4.2k 2.0
Byron Buxton OF 8.1 $4.3k 1.9
Francisco Lindor OF 9.9 $5.2k 1.9
Pete Alonso OF 10.3 $5.7k 1.8
Juan Soto OF 10.7 $6.0k 1.8
David Festa SP 12.9 $7.5k 1.7
Ryan Jeffers OF 5.7 $3.3k 1.7
Harrison Bader OF 4.9 $3.4k 1.5
Willi Castro OF 5.1 $3.6k 1.4
Best Bets
New York Mets
ML ★ · +6.8% edge
+102 · $100 bet · $102 profit
Model: 54% vs Market: 47%
LOSS
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 47%
+102 · $102 per $100
LOSS
Minnesota Twins +1.5
RL · 2.9 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
UNDER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
New York Mets ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + UNDER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+486 · $486 per $100
LOSS
NYM 54% 46% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.1% 21.9%
6.5 70.3% 29.7%
7.5 59.7% 40.3%
8.5 52.9% 47.1%
9.5 43.7% 56.3%
10.5 36.7% 63.3%
11.5 28.0% 72.0%
12.5 22.1% 77.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversNYM covers
MIN -1.5 25.4% 46.8%
MIN -2.5 17.9% 34.8%
MIN -3.5 11.0% 24.4%
Team Totals
LineMINNYM
O 3.5 52.9% 67.6%
O 4.5 39.7% 52.6%
O 5.5 28.2% 41.0%
O 6.5 19.0% 30.2%
Odds
moneyline NYM 54% · +102 · $102 per $100
BookNYMImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +102 47.4% -122 52.6%
runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs MIN 4.8 no bet
MIN +1.5: MIN 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs NYM 3.5 BET ✓
BookNYMMIN
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Under 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -108 U 8.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.0 10.7 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.3 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.9 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.5 —
Jesse Winker LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.0 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 1.0 7.5 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Brett Baty 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.7 —
Hayden Senger C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Huascar Brazobán Starter 4.3 4.3 3.7 1.7 1.8 29% 100% 13.7 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.1 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 7.5 —
Edouard Julien 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.2 7.3 —
Ty France 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Ryan Jeffers C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 5.7 —
Brooks Lee 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.7 —
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.1 —
Willi Castro LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.1 —
Harrison Bader LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 4.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
David Festa Starter 5.3 5.3 5.1 2.1 2.9 35% 100% 12.9 —