Atlanta Braves
54% win
1
pred 3.4
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
46% win
3
pred 4.8
2025-04-16 Rogers Centre 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Drake Baldwin OF 9.0 $2.4k 3.8
Orlando Arcia OF 6.7 $2.2k 3.1
Bryan De La Cruz OF 7.1 $2.4k 3.0
Eli White OF 7.2 $2.6k 2.8
Alan Roden OF 6.3 $2.4k 2.6
Alejandro Kirk OF 6.8 $2.9k 2.3
Addison Barger OF 5.8 $2.5k 2.3
Matt Olson OF 10.3 $4.5k 2.3
Michael Harris II OF 9.6 $4.2k 2.3
Ernie Clement OF 6.0 $2.7k 2.2
Myles Straw OF 5.3 $2.5k 2.1
Austin Riley OF 9.8 $4.7k 2.1
Spencer Strider SP 20.2 $10.0k 2.0
Sean Murphy OF 8.3 $4.3k 1.9
Chris Bassitt SP 16.0 $8.5k 1.9
Ozzie Albies OF 8.6 $4.6k 1.9
Anthony Santander OF 7.5 $4.2k 1.8
Bo Bichette OF 7.1 $4.4k 1.6
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OF 7.9 $5.1k 1.6
Andrés Giménez OF 6.4 $4.7k 1.4
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 56%
-142 · $70 per $100
LOSS
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 2.9 off line
-142 · $70 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Atlanta Braves ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+454 · $454 per $100
LOSS
ATL 54% 46% TOR
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 79.3% 20.7%
6.5 71.7% 28.3%
7.5 62.4% 37.6%
8.5 54.9% 45.1%
9.5 44.2% 55.8%
10.5 36.4% 63.6%
11.5 28.5% 71.5%
12.5 22.9% 77.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineTOR coversATL covers
TOR -1.5 32.8% 39.6%
TOR -2.5 22.7% 28.6%
TOR -3.5 15.3% 20.7%
Team Totals
LineTORATL
O 3.5 58.4% 62.6%
O 4.5 44.8% 50.3%
O 5.5 32.5% 38.0%
O 6.5 21.7% 27.7%
Odds
moneyline ATL 54% · -142 · $70 per $100
BookATLImpl%TORImpl%
DraftKings -142 56.3% +120 43.7%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -142 · $70 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs TOR 4.8 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs ATL 3.4 BET ✓
BookATLTOR
DraftKings -1.5 +120 +1.5 -142
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -120 U 7.0 +100
Player Projections actual (projected)
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Olson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.3 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.2 9.8 —
Michael Harris II CF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.1 9.6 —
Drake Baldwin C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 9.0 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Sean Murphy C 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.3 —
Eli White RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.1 7.2 —
Bryan De La Cruz OF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Orlando Arcia SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Strider Starter 5.4 5.6 5.1 1.8 2.6 47% 100% 20.2 —
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.9 —
Anthony Santander LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.5 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 7.1 —
Alejandro Kirk C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.8 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 6.4 —
Alan Roden LF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.3 —
Ernie Clement 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.0 —
Addison Barger 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.8 —
Myles Straw CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Chris Bassitt Starter 6.3 6.3 6.1 2.0 3.2 46% 100% 16.0 —