Houston Astros
55% win
2
pred 3.4
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
45% win
0
pred 4.5
2025-04-15 Busch Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jake Meyers UTIL 16.0 $2.5k 6.4
Alec Burleson UTIL 8.0 $2.7k 3.0
Yordan Alvarez UTIL 14.0 $5.6k 2.5
Jeremy Peña UTIL 9.0 $3.6k 2.5
Erick Fedde UTIL 16.1 $6.8k 2.4
Hunter Brown UTIL 21.9 $10.0k 2.2
Cam Smith UTIL 5.0 $2.4k 2.1
Nolan Arenado UTIL 8.0 $4.4k 1.8
Lars Nootbaar UTIL 7.0 $4.5k 1.6
Michael Siani UTIL 3.0 $2.0k 1.5
Kyle Leahy UTIL 5.3 $4.0k 1.3
Luken Baker UTIL 3.0 $2.3k 1.3
Brendan Donovan UTIL 5.0 $4.1k 1.2
Josh Hader UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Jose Altuve UTIL 5.0 $5.2k 1.0
Mauricio Dubón UTIL 2.0 $2.1k 1.0
Roddery Muñoz UTIL 4.3 $6.2k 0.7
Nolan Gorman UTIL 2.0 $3.5k 0.6
Christian Walker UTIL 2.0 $4.0k 0.5
Bryan King UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Bryan Abreu UTIL 1.7 $4.0k 0.4
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 55% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Houston Astros ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+456 · $456 per $100
LOSS
HOU 55% 45% STL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 80.7% 19.3%
6.5 73.8% 26.2%
7.5 62.5% 37.5%
8.5 53.7% 46.3%
9.5 41.8% 58.2%
10.5 35.5% 64.5%
11.5 28.7% 71.3%
12.5 23.3% 76.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineSTL coversHOU covers
STL -1.5 32.0% 39.9%
STL -2.5 23.9% 30.0%
STL -3.5 16.9% 20.4%
Team Totals
LineSTLHOU
O 3.5 58.6% 62.9%
O 4.5 44.3% 49.3%
O 5.5 32.0% 36.5%
O 6.5 22.3% 27.2%
Odds
moneyline HOU 55% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookHOUImpl%STLImpl%
DraftKings -125 53.3% +105 46.7%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs STL 4.5 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs HOU 3.4 BET ✗
BookHOUSTL
DraftKings -1.5 +136 +1.5 -162
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -108 U 7.5 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 11.7 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 9.3 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.1 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 9.0 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.4 —
Yainer Diaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.0 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.3 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.4 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hunter Brown Starter 5.4 5.5 5.2 1.9 2.7 48% 100% 18.2 —
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Lars Nootbaar RF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.3 —
Willson Contreras 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 7.5 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.1 —
Alec Burleson 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.9 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Nolan Gorman 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.2 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.8 —
Michael Siani OF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Erick Fedde Starter 5.2 4.2 4.9 2.1 2.7 41% 100% 10.7 —