Arizona Diamondbacks
49% win
10
pred 4.3
FINAL
Miami Marlins
51% win
4
pred 5.2
2025-04-15 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Jesús Sánchez OF 9.3 $2.8k 3.3
Graham Pauley OF 6.9 $2.3k 3.0
Liam Hicks OF 6.7 $2.3k 2.9
Griffin Conine OF 7.1 $2.5k 2.8
Garrett Hampson OF 7.2 $2.6k 2.8
Matt Mervis OF 8.4 $3.1k 2.7
Eric Wagaman OF 7.8 $2.9k 2.7
Alek Thomas OF 8.0 $3.4k 2.4
Gabriel Moreno OF 8.3 $3.5k 2.4
Pavin Smith OF 10.6 $4.5k 2.4
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. OF 8.6 $3.7k 2.3
Kyle Stowers OF 8.0 $3.5k 2.3
Merrill Kelly SP 16.1 $7.3k 2.2
Eugenio Suárez OF 10.0 $5.0k 2.0
Otto Lopez OF 7.5 $3.8k 2.0
Geraldo Perdomo OF 8.9 $4.6k 1.9
Corbin Carroll OF 11.4 $5.9k 1.9
Josh Naylor OF 9.3 $4.9k 1.9
Xavier Edwards OF 7.9 $4.4k 1.8
Connor Gillispie SP 10.7 $7.0k 1.5
Best Bets
Miami Marlins
ML ★★★ ELITE · +11.2% edge
+140 · $300 bet · $420 profit
Model: 51% vs Market: 40%
LOSS
Predictions
Miami Marlins
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 40%
+140 · $140 per $100
LOSS
Miami Marlins +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-120 · $83 per $100
LOSS
OVER 9.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.5 vs Line 9.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins ML + Miami Marlins +1.5 + OVER 9.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+740 · $740 per $100
LOSS
AZ 49% 51% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 83.1% 16.9%
6.5 77.9% 22.1%
7.5 67.3% 32.7%
8.5 58.6% 41.4%
9.5 47.3% 52.7%
10.5 39.8% 60.2%
11.5 31.2% 68.8%
12.5 26.0% 74.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversAZ covers
MIA -1.5 33.2% 41.7%
MIA -2.5 24.5% 33.0%
MIA -3.5 17.2% 23.8%
Team Totals
LineMIAAZ
O 3.5 60.7% 65.0%
O 4.5 48.8% 52.6%
O 5.5 34.5% 41.3%
O 6.5 24.7% 30.3%
Odds
moneyline MIA 51% · +140 · $140 per $100
BookAZImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings -166 59.9% +140 40.1%
runline Miami Marlins +1.5 · -120 · $83 per $100
AZ -1.5: AZ 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs MIA 5.2 no bet
MIA +1.5: MIA 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs AZ 4.3 BET ✗
BookAZMIA
DraftKings -1.5 +100 +1.5 -120
total Over 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 9.0 -105 U 9.0 -115
Player Projections actual (projected)
Arizona Diamondbacks
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Corbin Carroll RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.0 11.4 —
Pavin Smith 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.6 —
Eugenio Suárez 3B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.0 —
Josh Naylor 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.3 —
Geraldo Perdomo SS 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.8 8.9 —
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.6 —
Gabriel Moreno C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 8.3 —
Alek Thomas CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Garrett Hampson CF 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.9 7.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Merrill Kelly Starter 5.6 5.4 5.6 2.2 3.1 50% 100% 16.1 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Sánchez RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Matt Mervis 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.4 —
Kyle Stowers LF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 7.9 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.8 —
Otto Lopez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.5 —
Griffin Conine LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.1 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Liam Hicks C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Connor Gillispie Starter 5.2 4.7 4.6 2.4 2.7 41% 100% 10.7 —