Houston Astros
49% win
3
pred 4.2
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
51% win
8
pred 3.8
2025-04-14 Busch Stadium 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Luken Baker OF 9.0 $2.4k 3.7
Mauricio Dubón OF 5.7 $2.1k 2.7
Cam Smith OF 5.8 $2.4k 2.4
Sonny Gray SP 18.9 $8.5k 2.2
Jordan Walker OF 6.8 $3.1k 2.2
Chas McCormick OF 5.4 $2.6k 2.1
Isaac Paredes OF 7.4 $3.7k 2.0
Nolan Gorman OF 6.8 $3.4k 2.0
Yainer Diaz OF 6.7 $3.4k 2.0
Framber Valdez SP 17.0 $8.8k 1.9
Willson Contreras OF 7.9 $4.2k 1.9
Jeremy Peña OF 6.5 $3.5k 1.9
Pedro Pagés OF 6.4 $3.5k 1.8
Lars Nootbaar OF 7.9 $4.5k 1.8
Brendan Donovan OF 7.2 $4.1k 1.8
Victor Scott II OF 5.7 $3.3k 1.7
Christian Walker OF 7.5 $4.3k 1.7
Nolan Arenado OF 7.3 $4.4k 1.7
Yordan Alvarez OF 9.3 $5.7k 1.6
Jose Altuve OF 7.3 $5.1k 1.4
Predictions
St. Louis Cardinals
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 50%
-112 · $89 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
RL · 1.1 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.0 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
St. Louis Cardinals ML + St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+450 · $450 per $100
WIN
HOU 49% 51% STL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.9% 21.1%
6.5 71.6% 28.4%
7.5 63.4% 36.6%
8.5 54.7% 45.3%
9.5 44.4% 55.6%
10.5 35.7% 64.3%
11.5 26.4% 73.6%
12.5 20.2% 79.8%
Run Line (margin)
LineSTL coversHOU covers
STL -1.5 34.0% 38.7%
STL -2.5 23.3% 27.1%
STL -3.5 16.4% 19.2%
Team Totals
LineSTLHOU
O 3.5 58.1% 60.7%
O 4.5 44.5% 47.9%
O 5.5 34.1% 34.2%
O 6.5 23.5% 24.0%
Odds
moneyline STL 51% · -112 · $89 per $100
BookHOUImpl%STLImpl%
DraftKings -108 49.6% -112 50.4%
runline St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.2 − 1.5 = 2.7 vs STL 3.8 no bet
STL +1.5: STL 3.8 + 1.5 = 5.3 vs HOU 4.2 BET ✓
BookHOUSTL
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 +102 U 7.5 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.3 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.5 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.4 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.3 —
Yainer Diaz C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.7 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Cam Smith RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.8 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.7 —
Chas McCormick CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Framber Valdez Starter 5.8 6.2 5.4 2.4 2.9 50% 100% 17.0 —
St. Louis Cardinals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Luken Baker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.2 9.0 —
Willson Contreras 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 7.9 —
Lars Nootbaar RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.1 7.9 —
Nolan Arenado 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 7.3 —
Brendan Donovan 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.2 —
Jordan Walker RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 —
Nolan Gorman 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 6.8 —
Pedro Pagés C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.4 —
Victor Scott II CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sonny Gray Starter 5.5 5.7 5.3 1.8 2.8 44% 100% 18.9 —