New York Mets
50% win
5
pred 3.6
FINAL
Minnesota Twins
50% win
1
pred 4.2
2025-04-14 Target Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Christian Vázquez OF 6.5 $2.0k 3.3
Brooks Lee OF 6.6 $2.2k 3.0
Tyrone Taylor OF 6.3 $2.4k 2.6
Luis Torrens OF 6.9 $2.7k 2.6
Edouard Julien OF 7.6 $3.0k 2.5
Jesse Winker OF 7.3 $3.0k 2.4
Ty France OF 6.9 $3.2k 2.2
Trevor Larnach OF 6.9 $3.2k 2.2
Brandon Nimmo OF 8.9 $4.3k 2.1
Clay Holmes SP 15.4 $7.5k 2.1
Mark Vientos OF 7.9 $4.0k 2.0
Joe Ryan SP 17.7 $9.0k 2.0
Luisangel Acuña OF 6.0 $3.1k 1.9
Byron Buxton OF 8.3 $4.4k 1.9
Willi Castro OF 7.1 $3.9k 1.8
Carlos Correa OF 7.3 $4.1k 1.8
Francisco Lindor OF 9.2 $5.2k 1.8
Matt Wallner OF 7.6 $4.3k 1.8
Pete Alonso OF 9.3 $5.8k 1.6
Juan Soto OF 9.8 $6.1k 1.6
Predictions
New York Mets
ML · Model 50% vs Mkt 48%
+100 · $100 per $100
WIN
Minnesota Twins +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
LOSS
UNDER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.7 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
New York Mets ML + Minnesota Twins +1.5 + UNDER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+481 · $481 per $100
LOSS
NYM 50% 50% MIN
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 77.3% 22.7%
6.5 70.2% 29.8%
7.5 61.5% 38.5%
8.5 51.4% 48.6%
9.5 40.6% 59.4%
10.5 33.9% 66.1%
11.5 25.0% 75.0%
12.5 18.6% 81.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIN coversNYM covers
MIN -1.5 30.9% 42.6%
MIN -2.5 20.7% 30.9%
MIN -3.5 14.5% 22.2%
Team Totals
LineMINNYM
O 3.5 52.9% 61.9%
O 4.5 40.7% 48.1%
O 5.5 27.5% 35.4%
O 6.5 18.6% 27.5%
Odds
moneyline NYM 50% · +100 · $100 per $100
BookNYMImpl%MINImpl%
DraftKings +100 47.8% -120 52.2%
runline Minnesota Twins +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
NYM -1.5: NYM 3.6 − 1.5 = 2.1 vs MIN 4.2 no bet
MIN +1.5: MIN 4.2 + 1.5 = 5.7 vs NYM 3.6 BET ✗
BookNYMMIN
DraftKings -1.5 +160 +1.5 -192
total Under 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -102 U 8.0 -118
Player Projections actual (projected)
New York Mets
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Juan Soto RF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.8 —
Pete Alonso 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.3 —
Francisco Lindor SS 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 9.2 —
Brandon Nimmo LF 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 8.9 —
Mark Vientos 3B 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.9 —
Jesse Winker LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.3 —
Luis Torrens C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 6.9 —
Tyrone Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.3 —
Luisangel Acuña 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Clay Holmes Starter 5.6 6.1 5.3 2.3 2.6 52% 100% 15.4 —
Minnesota Twins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Byron Buxton CF 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 8.3 —
Matt Wallner RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.2 7.6 —
Edouard Julien 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.3 7.6 —
Carlos Correa SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.3 —
Willi Castro LF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.1 —
Trevor Larnach RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 6.9 —
Ty France 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.9 —
Brooks Lee 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.6 —
Christian Vázquez C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Joe Ryan Starter 5.3 5.3 5.0 1.7 2.8 41% 100% 17.7 —