Atlanta Braves

41% win

pred 4

FINAL

Toronto Blue Jays

59% win

pred 4.5

2025-04-14 Rogers Centre 0°F

Top DFS Plays

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Stuart Fairchild	OF	6.9	$2.0k	3.5
Bryan De La Cruz	OF	7.3	$2.7k	2.7
Ernie Clement	OF	6.7	$2.5k	2.7
Myles Straw	OF	6.3	$2.4k	2.6
Alan Roden	OF	6.5	$2.5k	2.6
Eli White	OF	6.4	$2.5k	2.6
Nathan Lukes	OF	6.9	$2.8k	2.5
Nick Allen	OF	6.2	$2.6k	2.4
Austin Riley	OF	10.5	$4.6k	2.3
Sean Murphy	OF	8.8	$4.0k	2.2
Matt Olson	OF	10.0	$4.8k	2.1
Tyler Heineman	OF	5.9	$2.9k	2.0
Ozzie Albies	OF	8.9	$4.4k	2.0
Anthony Santander	OF	8.6	$4.5k	1.9
Michael Harris II	OF	7.9	$4.2k	1.9
Grant Holmes	SP	12.0	$6.5k	1.8
Bo Bichette	OF	8.0	$4.4k	1.8
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	OF	8.9	$5.4k	1.6
Easton Lucas	SP	12.3	$8.0k	1.5
Andrés Giménez	OF	7.1	$4.7k	1.5

Best Bets

Toronto Blue Jays

ML ★★★ ELITE · +11.2% edge

-102 · $300 bet · $294 profit

Model: 59% vs Market: 48%

LOSS

Predictions

Toronto Blue Jays

ML · Model 59% vs Mkt 48%

-102 · $98 per $100

LOSS

Toronto Blue Jays +1.5

RL · 2.0 off line

-175 · $57 per $100

LOSS

UNDER 9.0

TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 9.0

-110 · $91 per $100

LOSS

Toronto Blue Jays ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + UNDER 9.0

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+494 · $494 per $100

LOSS

ATL 41% 59% TOR

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	81.2%	18.8%
6.5	73.0%	27.0%
7.5	63.3%	36.7%
8.5	55.7%	44.3%
9.5	44.9%	55.1%
10.5	37.0%	63.0%
11.5	28.7%	71.3%
12.5	22.3%	77.7%

Run Line (margin)

Line	TOR covers	ATL covers
TOR -1.5	39.9%	33.6%
TOR -2.5	28.1%	25.6%
TOR -3.5	20.0%	18.5%

Team Totals

Line	TOR	ATL
O 3.5	62.4%	58.9%
O 4.5	47.7%	46.9%
O 5.5	36.3%	34.0%
O 6.5	26.5%	25.2%

Odds

moneyline TOR 59% · -102 · $98 per $100

Book	ATL	Impl%	TOR	Impl%
DraftKings	-118	51.7%	-102	48.3%

runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -175 · $57 per $100

ATL -1.5: ATL 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs TOR 4.5 no bet

TOR +1.5: TOR 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs ATL 4.0 BET ✗

Book	ATL		TOR
DraftKings	-1.5	+145	+1.5	-175

total Under 9.0 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 9.0 -120	U 9.0 +100

Player Projections actual (projected)

Atlanta Braves

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Austin Riley	3B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	10.5	—
Matt Olson	1B	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.5	1.0	10.0	—
Ozzie Albies	2B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.9	8.9	—
Sean Murphy	C	0.9	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.1	8.8	—
Michael Harris II	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.9	7.9	—
Bryan De La Cruz	OF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	1.0	7.3	—
Stuart Fairchild	LF	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.0	6.9	—
Eli White	RF	0.7	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.4	1.0	6.4	—
Nick Allen	SS	0.8	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.2	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Grant Holmes	Starter	5.2	4.8	5.4	2.1	2.9	40%	100%	12.0	—

Toronto Blue Jays

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	1B	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.9	—
Anthony Santander	LF	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.6	—
Bo Bichette	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.0	8.0	—
Andrés Giménez	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.4	0.9	7.1	—
Nathan Lukes	RF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.5	0.8	6.9	—
Ernie Clement	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.3	0.8	6.7	—
Alan Roden	LF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.5	—
Myles Straw	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.8	6.3	—
Tyler Heineman	C	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.8	5.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Easton Lucas	Starter	4.9	5.0	4.7	2.0	2.4	42%	100%	12.3	—