Boston Red Sox
63% win
3
pred 3.1
FINAL
Chicago White Sox
37% win
1
pred 5.2
2025-04-13 Rate Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Carlos Narváez OF 8.1 $2.8k 2.9
Brooks Baldwin OF 6.0 $2.2k 2.7
Chase Meidroth OF 5.3 $2.0k 2.6
Triston Casas OF 8.6 $3.6k 2.4
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 7.0 $3.0k 2.3
Jacob Amaya OF 4.9 $2.1k 2.3
Lenyn Sosa OF 6.5 $2.8k 2.3
Andrew Vaughn OF 7.1 $3.1k 2.3
Wilyer Abreu OF 10.5 $4.7k 2.2
Michael A. Taylor OF 5.7 $2.6k 2.2
Garrett Crochet SP 20.7 $9.4k 2.2
Miguel Vargas OF 6.6 $3.0k 2.2
Alex Bregman OF 10.5 $5.0k 2.1
Rafael Devers OF 10.6 $5.1k 2.1
Matt Thaiss OF 5.5 $2.7k 2.0
Kristian Campbell OF 8.1 $4.1k 2.0
Trevor Story OF 8.0 $4.2k 1.9
Jarren Duran OF 9.8 $5.6k 1.7
Luis Robert Jr. OF 6.2 $3.7k 1.7
Shane Smith SP 11.3 $7.1k 1.6
Best Bets
Chicago White Sox +1.5
SPREAD ★★★ ELITE · +3.6 off line
+110 · $300 bet · $330 profit
Model: 5.2 - 3.1
LOSS
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 63% vs Mkt 68%
-245 · $41 per $100
WIN
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 3.6 off line
+110 · $110 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+465 · $465 per $100
LOSS
BOS 63% 37% CWS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 68.6% 31.4%
6.5 61.1% 38.9%
7.5 49.5% 50.5%
8.5 41.1% 58.9%
9.5 31.8% 68.2%
10.5 25.6% 74.4%
11.5 18.6% 81.4%
12.5 14.8% 85.2%
Run Line (margin)
LineCWS coversBOS covers
CWS -1.5 30.6% 38.1%
CWS -2.5 19.4% 28.7%
CWS -3.5 11.8% 20.6%
Team Totals
LineCWSBOS
O 3.5 48.2% 53.1%
O 4.5 33.7% 40.8%
O 5.5 22.4% 29.8%
O 6.5 14.4% 21.8%
Odds
moneyline BOS 63% · -245 · $41 per $100
BookBOSImpl%CWSImpl%
DraftKings -245 68.1% +200 31.9%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · +110 · $110 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 3.1 − 1.5 = 1.6 vs CWS 5.2 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs BOS 3.1 BET ✗
BookBOSCWS
DraftKings -1.5 -130 +1.5 +110
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 +100 U 7.0 -120
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Rafael Devers DH 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.6 —
Alex Bregman 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.8 10.5 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.0 10.5 —
Jarren Duran LF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.1 9.8 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.1 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.1 —
Trevor Story SS 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.1 8.0 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.0 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Garrett Crochet Starter 6.6 7.4 5.8 2.2 2.8 50% 100% 20.7 —
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Andrew Vaughn 1B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Miguel Vargas 3B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.2 6.6 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 6.5 —
Luis Robert Jr. CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.3 6.2 —
Brooks Baldwin 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.0 —
Michael A. Taylor CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 5.7 —
Matt Thaiss 1B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.1 5.5 —
Chase Meidroth SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.3 —
Jacob Amaya SS 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Shane Smith Starter 5.8 5.4 4.5 2.7 2.3 45% 100% 11.3 —