Los Angeles Angels
42% win
3
pred 5.1
FINAL
Houston Astros
58% win
7
pred 4.1
2025-04-13 Daikin Park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Victor Caratini OF 8.5 $2.4k 3.5
Cam Smith OF 8.0 $2.3k 3.5
Jake Meyers OF 7.5 $2.4k 3.1
Mauricio Dubón OF 6.5 $2.2k 2.9
Kevin Newman OF 5.6 $2.1k 2.7
Isaac Paredes OF 9.6 $3.6k 2.7
Christian Walker OF 10.5 $4.1k 2.6
Travis d'Arnaud OF 7.5 $3.1k 2.4
Hayden Wesneski SP 17.2 $7.3k 2.4
Jeremy Peña OF 8.0 $3.5k 2.3
Jo Adell OF 7.8 $3.5k 2.2
Yordan Alvarez OF 12.5 $5.7k 2.2
Jorge Soler OF 9.1 $4.3k 2.1
Taylor Ward OF 8.7 $4.2k 2.1
Nolan Schanuel OF 7.1 $3.6k 2.0
Luis Rengifo OF 7.3 $4.0k 1.8
Kyren Paris OF 6.7 $3.7k 1.8
Jose Altuve OF 9.1 $5.2k 1.7
Kyle Hendricks SP 10.3 $6.0k 1.7
Mike Trout OF 8.4 $5.6k 1.5
Predictions
Houston Astros
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 59%
-162 · $62 per $100
WIN
Los Angeles Angels +1.5
RL · 2.4 off line
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 9.2 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Houston Astros ML + Los Angeles Angels +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+399 · $399 per $100
LOSS
LAA 42% 58% HOU
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.6% 15.4%
6.5 76.6% 23.4%
7.5 68.4% 31.6%
8.5 60.6% 39.4%
9.5 50.9% 49.1%
10.5 42.2% 57.8%
11.5 34.0% 66.0%
12.5 27.0% 73.0%
Run Line (margin)
LineHOU coversLAA covers
HOU -1.5 34.7% 39.7%
HOU -2.5 23.7% 29.8%
HOU -3.5 17.1% 21.6%
Team Totals
LineHOULAA
O 3.5 64.5% 66.8%
O 4.5 51.2% 53.8%
O 5.5 38.0% 40.2%
O 6.5 25.6% 30.0%
Odds
moneyline HOU 58% · -162 · $62 per $100
BookLAAImpl%HOUImpl%
DraftKings +136 40.7% -162 59.3%
runline Los Angeles Angels +1.5 · -162 · $62 per $100
HOU -1.5: HOU 4.1 − 1.5 = 2.6 vs LAA 5.1 no bet
LAA +1.5: LAA 5.1 + 1.5 = 6.6 vs HOU 4.1 BET ✗
BookLAAHOU
DraftKings +1.5 -162 -1.5 +136
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -118 U 8.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Los Angeles Angels
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jorge Soler RF 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Taylor Ward LF 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.7 —
Mike Trout RF 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Jo Adell CF 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.8 —
Travis d'Arnaud C 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.5 —
Luis Rengifo 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Nolan Schanuel 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.1 —
Kyren Paris 2B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
Kevin Newman SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 5.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Hendricks Starter 5.3 4.4 5.5 1.7 2.9 48% 100% 10.3 —
Houston Astros
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Yordan Alvarez LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 12.5 —
Christian Walker 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 10.5 —
Isaac Paredes 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.6 —
Jose Altuve LF 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 9.1 —
Victor Caratini C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.5 —
Jeremy Peña SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 8.0 —
Cam Smith RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Jake Meyers CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 7.5 —
Mauricio Dubón 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Hayden Wesneski Starter 5.6 5.3 5.0 2.2 3.0 43% 100% 17.2 —