Kansas City Royals
49% win
4
pred 3.4
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
51% win
2
pred 4.5
2025-04-13 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Freddy Fermin OF 6.8 $2.2k 3.1
MJ Melendez OF 8.6 $2.9k 3.0
Cole Ragans SP 22.6 $8.4k 2.7
Hunter Renfroe OF 8.2 $3.1k 2.6
Angel Martínez OF 6.7 $2.8k 2.4
Michael Massey OF 8.7 $3.7k 2.4
Kyle Isbel OF 6.3 $2.7k 2.3
Daniel Schneemann OF 5.7 $2.5k 2.3
Brayan Rocchio OF 6.0 $2.7k 2.2
Austin Hedges OF 5.1 $2.4k 2.1
Jhonkensy Noel OF 6.6 $3.2k 2.1
Gabriel Arias OF 6.2 $3.1k 2.0
Maikel Garcia OF 8.7 $4.4k 2.0
Salvador Perez OF 8.5 $4.3k 2.0
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 9.1 $4.7k 1.9
Carlos Santana OF 7.4 $4.3k 1.7
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 10.1 $6.0k 1.7
Ben Lively SP 11.1 $6.8k 1.6
Steven Kwan OF 6.9 $5.1k 1.4
José Ramírez OF 7.9 $5.9k 1.3
Best Bets
Cleveland Guardians
ML ★ · +6.6% edge
+114 · $100 bet · $114 profit
Model: 51% vs Market: 45%
LOSS
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 45%
+114 · $114 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-155 · $65 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 7.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians ML + Cleveland Guardians +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+572 · $572 per $100
LOSS
KC 49% 51% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 79.1% 20.9%
6.5 69.8% 30.2%
7.5 60.3% 39.7%
8.5 53.1% 46.9%
9.5 43.5% 56.5%
10.5 36.2% 63.8%
11.5 28.6% 71.4%
12.5 21.9% 78.1%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversKC covers
CLE -1.5 33.6% 39.6%
CLE -2.5 23.1% 29.5%
CLE -3.5 16.6% 21.9%
Team Totals
LineCLEKC
O 3.5 57.4% 61.1%
O 4.5 44.1% 47.3%
O 5.5 32.5% 36.7%
O 6.5 23.4% 27.1%
Odds
moneyline CLE 51% · +114 · $114 per $100
BookKCImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings -135 55.1% +114 44.9%
runline Cleveland Guardians +1.5 · -155 · $65 per $100
KC -1.5: KC 3.4 − 1.5 = 1.9 vs CLE 4.5 no bet
CLE +1.5: CLE 4.5 + 1.5 = 6.0 vs KC 3.4 BET ✗
BookKCCLE
DraftKings -1.5 +130 +1.5 -155
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 +102 U 7.5 -122
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 10.1 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.1 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 8.7 —
Maikel Garcia 3B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 8.7 —
MJ Melendez LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.6 —
Salvador Perez C 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.5 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 8.2 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.3 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Cole Ragans Starter 5.8 6.3 5.2 2.2 2.6 48% 100% 22.6 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.9 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.4 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.9 6.9 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 6.7 —
Jhonkensy Noel RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.6 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.3 6.2 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.0 —
Daniel Schneemann 2B 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 5.7 —
Austin Hedges C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.1 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Ben Lively Starter 5.1 4.4 5.2 1.6 2.8 42% 100% 11.1 —