Kansas City Royals

52% win

pred 4.3

FINAL

Cleveland Guardians

48% win

pred 4

2025-04-12 Progressive Field 0°F

Best Bets

Kansas City Royals

ML ★ · +7.1% edge

+114 · $100 bet · $114 profit

Model: 52% vs Market: 45%

LOSS

Predictions

Kansas City Royals

ML · Model 52% vs Mkt 45%

+114 · $114 per $100

LOSS

Kansas City Royals +1.5

RL · 1.8 off line

-192 · $52 per $100

LOSS

OVER 7.5

TOTAL · Proj 8.3 vs Line 7.5

-110 · $91 per $100

WIN

Kansas City Royals ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 7.5

SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay

+521 · $521 per $100

LOSS

KC 52% 48% CLE

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	84.1%	15.9%
6.5	78.2%	21.8%
7.5	68.9%	31.1%
8.5	61.4%	38.6%
9.5	50.2%	49.8%
10.5	42.6%	57.4%
11.5	34.3%	65.7%
12.5	27.8%	72.2%

Run Line (margin)

Line	CLE covers	KC covers
CLE -1.5	37.4%	35.7%
CLE -2.5	26.0%	27.6%
CLE -3.5	18.1%	20.0%

Team Totals

Line	CLE	KC
O 3.5	64.8%	65.6%
O 4.5	52.3%	53.0%
O 5.5	38.9%	41.3%
O 6.5	28.6%	29.4%

Odds

moneyline KC 52% · +114 · $114 per $100

Book	KC	Impl%	CLE	Impl%
DraftKings	+114	44.9%	-135	55.1%

runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100

CLE -1.5: CLE 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs KC 4.3 no bet

KC +1.5: KC 4.3 + 1.5 = 5.8 vs CLE 4.0 BET ✗

Book	KC		CLE
DraftKings	+1.5	-192	-1.5	+160

total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100

Book	Over	Under
DraftKings	O 7.5 -108	U 7.5 -112

Player Projections actual (projected)

Kansas City Royals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Bobby Witt Jr.	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.4	0.8	8.8	—
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	1.0	0.1	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.6	8.6	—
Jonathan India	2B	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.5	0.8	8.5	—
Michael Massey	2B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.7	8.1	—
Salvador Perez	C	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.6	—
MJ Melendez	LF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.6	—
Cavan Biggio	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.8	7.1	—
Kyle Isbel	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.7	6.8	—
Maikel Garcia	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.7	6.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Michael Lorenzen	Starter	5.7	5.1	5.4	2.5	3.1	45%	100%	12.4	—

Cleveland Guardians

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS
Carlos Santana	1B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.5	0.8	9.3	—
José Ramírez	3B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.5	0.8	8.9	—
Steven Kwan	LF	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.4	0.7	8.7	—
Kyle Manzardo	1B	0.9	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.4	1.0	8.3	—
Nolan Jones	3B	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.1	7.8	—
Bo Naylor	C	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.9	7.3	—
Angel Martínez	CF	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	0.8	7.3	—
Gabriel Arias	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	7.0	—
Brayan Rocchio	SS	0.8	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.8	6.9	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Luis Ortiz	Starter	6.0	4.9	6.1	2.5	3.4	48%	100%	14.9	—