Washington Nationals
43% win
6
pred 4.6
FINAL
Miami Marlins
57% win
7
pred 4.3
2025-04-12 loanDepot park 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Griffin Conine OF 7.9 $2.3k 3.4
Matt Mervis OF 8.4 $2.5k 3.4
Graham Pauley OF 7.3 $2.2k 3.3
Eric Wagaman OF 7.8 $2.6k 3.0
Liam Hicks OF 6.4 $2.2k 2.9
Josh Bell OF 7.8 $2.7k 2.9
Paul DeJong OF 7.1 $2.6k 2.7
Kyle Stowers OF 8.1 $3.0k 2.7
Nathaniel Lowe OF 8.2 $3.2k 2.6
Alex Call OF 8.1 $3.5k 2.3
Otto Lopez OF 8.2 $3.6k 2.3
Trevor Williams SP 15.4 $6.8k 2.3
Jacob Young OF 6.0 $2.7k 2.2
Derek Hill OF 6.6 $3.1k 2.1
Sandy Alcantara SP 18.0 $9.1k 2.0
Xavier Edwards OF 8.0 $4.1k 2.0
Keibert Ruiz OF 8.1 $4.4k 1.9
Amed Rosario OF 6.8 $3.8k 1.8
James Wood OF 8.7 $5.0k 1.7
Luis García OF 5.8 $3.4k 1.7
Predictions
Miami Marlins
ML · Model 57% vs Mkt 58%
-155 · $65 per $100
WIN
Washington Nationals +1.5
RL · 1.8 off line
-170 · $59 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.9 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
WIN
Miami Marlins ML + Washington Nationals +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+399 · $399 per $100
WIN
WSH 43% 57% MIA
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.5% 18.5%
6.5 74.5% 25.5%
7.5 65.4% 34.6%
8.5 58.0% 42.0%
9.5 47.3% 52.7%
10.5 40.8% 59.2%
11.5 32.3% 67.7%
12.5 25.6% 74.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineMIA coversWSH covers
MIA -1.5 36.5% 36.2%
MIA -2.5 25.9% 27.6%
MIA -3.5 18.5% 20.7%
Team Totals
LineMIAWSH
O 3.5 62.5% 60.9%
O 4.5 49.1% 49.7%
O 5.5 37.5% 38.7%
O 6.5 26.0% 28.2%
Odds
moneyline MIA 57% · -155 · $65 per $100
BookWSHImpl%MIAImpl%
DraftKings +130 41.7% -155 58.3%
runline Washington Nationals +1.5 · -170 · $59 per $100
MIA -1.5: MIA 4.3 − 1.5 = 2.8 vs WSH 4.6 no bet
WSH +1.5: WSH 4.6 + 1.5 = 6.1 vs MIA 4.3 BET ✓
BookWSHMIA
DraftKings +1.5 -170 -1.5 +142
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -112 U 7.5 -108
Player Projections actual (projected)
Washington Nationals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
James Wood LF 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.2 8.7 —
Nathaniel Lowe 1B 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Keibert Ruiz C 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.1 —
Alex Call RF 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.9 8.1 —
Josh Bell 1B 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Paul DeJong SS 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 7.1 —
Amed Rosario 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.8 6.8 —
Jacob Young CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.8 6.0 —
Luis García P 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Trevor Williams Starter 5.5 5.5 6.1 1.9 3.2 44% 100% 15.4 —
Miami Marlins
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Matt Mervis 1B 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Otto Lopez 2B 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 8.2 —
Kyle Stowers LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.1 —
Xavier Edwards SS 1.3 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.9 8.0 —
Griffin Conine LF 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Eric Wagaman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.8 —
Graham Pauley 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.3 —
Derek Hill CF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.6 —
Liam Hicks C 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.4 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Sandy Alcantara Starter 5.3 4.9 4.8 2.0 2.5 46% 100% 18.0 —