Boston Red Sox
58% win
2
pred 3.7
FINAL
Chicago White Sox
42% win
3
pred 4.4
2025-04-12 Rate Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Nick Maton OF 8.7 $2.3k 3.8
Omar Narváez OF 6.7 $2.2k 3.1
Michael A. Taylor OF 6.8 $2.3k 2.9
Romy Gonzalez OF 8.7 $3.0k 2.9
Carlos Narváez OF 7.9 $2.9k 2.7
Lenyn Sosa OF 7.0 $2.7k 2.6
Rob Refsnyder OF 9.1 $3.7k 2.5
Joshua Palacios OF 8.1 $3.3k 2.4
Miguel Vargas OF 7.8 $3.2k 2.4
Andrew Vaughn OF 8.0 $3.4k 2.4
Ceddanne Rafaela OF 6.6 $3.0k 2.2
Kristian Campbell OF 8.6 $4.0k 2.2
Luis Robert Jr. OF 8.0 $3.9k 2.0
Martín Pérez SP 14.3 $7.1k 2.0
Trevor Story OF 8.3 $4.2k 2.0
Alex Bregman OF 9.5 $5.1k 1.9
Richard Fitts SP 13.1 $7.3k 1.8
Wilyer Abreu OF 8.5 $4.9k 1.7
Rafael Devers OF 8.6 $5.1k 1.7
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 58% vs Mkt 59%
-162 · $62 per $100
LOSS
Chicago White Sox +1.5
RL · 2.1 off line
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.1 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Chicago White Sox +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+456 · $456 per $100
LOSS
BOS 58% 42% CWS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 81.9% 18.1%
6.5 74.5% 25.5%
7.5 65.0% 35.0%
8.5 56.3% 43.7%
9.5 46.9% 53.1%
10.5 38.4% 61.6%
11.5 30.1% 69.9%
12.5 24.6% 75.4%
Run Line (margin)
LineCWS coversBOS covers
CWS -1.5 27.8% 48.4%
CWS -2.5 18.4% 37.5%
CWS -3.5 13.4% 28.8%
Team Totals
LineCWSBOS
O 3.5 53.0% 68.5%
O 4.5 40.1% 56.1%
O 5.5 30.9% 44.0%
O 6.5 20.7% 33.7%
Odds
moneyline BOS 58% · -162 · $62 per $100
BookBOSImpl%CWSImpl%
DraftKings -162 59.3% +136 40.7%
runline Chicago White Sox +1.5 · -125 · $80 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs CWS 4.4 no bet
CWS +1.5: CWS 4.4 + 1.5 = 5.9 vs BOS 3.7 BET ✓
BookBOSCWS
DraftKings -1.5 +105 +1.5 -125
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 -115 U 7.5 -105
Player Projections actual (projected)
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 9.5 —
Rob Refsnyder RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.1 —
Romy Gonzalez SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.2 8.7 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 8.6 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 1.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.6 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 8.3 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 7.9 —
Ceddanne Rafaela CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Richard Fitts Starter 7.0 5.7 6.6 2.5 3.3 58% 100% 13.1 —
Chicago White Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Nick Maton 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.7 —
Joshua Palacios RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.1 —
Andrew Vaughn 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 8.0 —
Luis Robert Jr. CF 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.0 —
Miguel Vargas 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.9 7.8 —
Lenyn Sosa 2B 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 7.0 —
Michael A. Taylor CF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 6.8 —
Omar Narváez C 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.7 6.7 —
Chase Meidroth SS 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.2 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Martín Pérez Starter 5.6 5.4 5.7 2.5 3.2 38% 100% 14.3 —