Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals — 2025-04-11 | AI Sports Metrics

Philadelphia Phillies

45% win

0

pred 3.8

FINAL

St. Louis Cardinals

55% win

2

pred 4.3

2025-04-11 Busch Stadium 0°F

Top DFS Results

Player	Pos	FP	Sal	Val
Yohel Pozo	UTIL	15.0	$2.0k	7.5
Tommy Edman	UTIL	18.0	$4.7k	3.8
Lars Nootbaar	UTIL	17.0	$4.7k	3.6
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	UTIL	33.7	$9.7k	3.5
Andre Pallante	UTIL	25.4	$7.4k	3.4
Thomas Saggese	UTIL	8.0	$2.7k	3.0
Alec Burleson	UTIL	9.0	$3.2k	2.8
Miguel Rojas	UTIL	6.0	$2.2k	2.7
Brendan Donovan	UTIL	8.0	$4.2k	1.9
Aaron Nola	UTIL	15.9	$9.0k	1.8
Kirby Yates	UTIL	6.3	$4.0k	1.6
Kyle Schwarber	UTIL	8.0	$5.8k	1.4
Bryce Harper	UTIL	7.0	$5.1k	1.4
Michael Conforto	UTIL	5.0	$4.4k	1.1
Teoscar Hernández	UTIL	5.0	$5.0k	1.0
José Ruiz	UTIL	3.7	$4.0k	0.9
Pedro Pagés	UTIL	3.0	$3.6k	0.8
Freddie Freeman	UTIL	4.0	$4.8k	0.8
Mookie Betts	UTIL	5.0	$6.0k	0.8
Tanner Banks	UTIL	3.1	$4.0k	0.8
Brandon Marsh	UTIL	2.0	$3.1k	0.7
Nick Castellanos	UTIL	3.0	$4.8k	0.6
Trea Turner	UTIL	3.0	$5.2k	0.6
Blake Treinen	UTIL	2.3	$4.0k	0.6
Tanner Scott	UTIL	2.3	$4.0k	0.6
Phil Maton	UTIL	2.3	$4.0k	0.6
Carlos Hernández	UTIL	3.7	$8.2k	0.5
Nolan Arenado	UTIL	2.0	$4.5k	0.4
Will Smith	UTIL	2.0	$4.5k	0.4
Ryan Helsley	UTIL	1.7	$4.0k	0.4

Best Bets

St. Louis Cardinals

ML ★ · +5.3% edge

Model: 55% vs Market: 50%

WIN

Predictions

St. Louis Cardinals

ML · Model 55%

WIN

PHI 45% 55% STL

Total Runs

Line	Over	Under
5.5	86.8%	13.2%
6.5	79.7%	20.3%
7.5	71.1%	28.9%
8.5	62.9%	37.1%
9.5	51.3%	48.7%
10.5	44.5%	55.5%
11.5	35.5%	64.5%
12.5	30.7%	69.3%

Run Line (margin)

Line	STL covers	PHI covers
STL -1.5	31.0%	42.7%
STL -2.5	20.8%	33.3%
STL -3.5	14.0%	25.8%

Team Totals

Line	STL	PHI
O 3.5	65.2%	70.1%
O 4.5	50.3%	58.8%
O 5.5	37.5%	45.9%
O 6.5	24.6%	35.6%

Player Projections actual (projected)

Philadelphia Phillies

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Kyle Schwarber	LF	0.9	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.5	0.9	9.5	—
Bryce Harper	1B	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.1	0.5	0.9	9.1	—
Bryson Stott	2B	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.4	0.9	8.2	—
Nick Castellanos	RF	1.0	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.4	0.9	8.1	—
Trea Turner	SS	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.7	0.2	0.4	0.9	8.0	—
Max Kepler	RF	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.7	7.4	—
Brandon Marsh	CF	0.8	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.1	0.4	0.9	7.1	—
Rafael Marchán	C	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.7	6.9	—
Alec Bohm	3B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.7	6.8	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Aaron Nola	Starter	5.7	5.4	6.0	1.7	3.1	51%	100%	17.9	—

St. Louis Cardinals

Batter	Pos	H	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB	K	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Lars Nootbaar	RF	1.0	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.0	9.2	—
Brendan Donovan	2B	1.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.3	0.8	8.3	—
Jordan Walker	RF	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.1	7.7	—
Nolan Arenado	3B	1.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.3	0.8	7.5	—
Alec Burleson	1B	1.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.7	7.0	—
Pedro Pagés	C	1.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.0	0.2	1.0	6.8	—
Victor Scott II	CF	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.3	1.0	6.2	—
Thomas Saggese	2B	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	0.2	0.9	5.9	—
Masyn Winn	SS	0.9	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.9	4.6	—

Pitcher	Role	IP	K	H	BB	ER	Win%	App%	Proj DFS	Act DFS	+/-
Andre Pallante	Starter	5.1	4.4	5.4	2.4	3.2	40%	100%	13.9	—