Kansas City Royals
40% win
0
pred 3.8
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
60% win
7
pred 4
2025-04-11 Progressive Field 0°F
Top DFS Plays
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Freddy Fermin OF 5.9 $2.2k 2.7
Kyle Isbel OF 5.9 $2.5k 2.4
Austin Hedges OF 5.8 $2.5k 2.3
Jhonkensy Noel OF 7.2 $3.2k 2.3
Tanner Bibee SP 17.2 $7.7k 2.2
Kris Bubic SP 18.1 $8.2k 2.2
Brayan Rocchio OF 6.3 $2.9k 2.2
Hunter Renfroe OF 6.6 $3.1k 2.1
Angel Martínez OF 6.0 $2.8k 2.1
Michael Massey OF 7.4 $3.6k 2.1
Gabriel Arias OF 6.3 $3.1k 2.0
Jonathan India OF 8.2 $4.1k 2.0
Carlos Santana OF 8.2 $4.3k 1.9
Salvador Perez OF 7.9 $4.2k 1.9
Vinnie Pasquantino OF 8.2 $4.6k 1.8
Kyle Manzardo OF 7.2 $4.5k 1.6
Steven Kwan OF 7.9 $5.0k 1.6
Bobby Witt Jr. OF 8.6 $5.8k 1.5
José Ramírez OF 8.5 $6.0k 1.4
Best Bets
Cleveland Guardians
ML ★ · +5.3% edge
-130 · $100 bet · $77 profit
Model: 60% vs Market: 54%
WIN
Predictions
Cleveland Guardians
ML · Model 60% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
WIN
Kansas City Royals +1.5
RL · 1.3 off line
-185 · $54 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.0
TOTAL · Proj 7.8 vs Line 7.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Cleveland Guardians ML + Kansas City Royals +1.5 + OVER 7.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+420 · $420 per $100
LOSS
KC 40% 60% CLE
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.9% 21.1%
6.5 72.6% 27.4%
7.5 62.6% 37.4%
8.5 55.1% 44.9%
9.5 44.2% 55.8%
10.5 36.3% 63.7%
11.5 28.4% 71.6%
12.5 22.1% 77.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineCLE coversKC covers
CLE -1.5 31.9% 37.7%
CLE -2.5 21.3% 29.3%
CLE -3.5 13.6% 20.4%
Team Totals
LineCLEKC
O 3.5 57.9% 63.4%
O 4.5 44.9% 48.3%
O 5.5 31.4% 36.0%
O 6.5 22.3% 25.5%
Odds
moneyline CLE 60% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookKCImpl%CLEImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Kansas City Royals +1.5 · -185 · $54 per $100
CLE -1.5: CLE 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs KC 3.8 no bet
KC +1.5: KC 3.8 + 1.5 = 5.3 vs CLE 4.0 BET ✗
BookKCCLE
DraftKings +1.5 -185 -1.5 +154
total Over 7.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.0 -108 U 7.0 -112
Player Projections actual (projected)
Kansas City Royals
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.6 —
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.2 —
Jonathan India 2B 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.2 —
Salvador Perez C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 7.9 —
Michael Massey 2B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.4 —
Drew Waters RF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 7.0 —
Hunter Renfroe LF 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.6 —
Freddy Fermin C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 5.9 —
Kyle Isbel CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kris Bubic Starter 6.0 5.9 5.5 2.2 2.8 48% 100% 18.1 —
Cleveland Guardians
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
José Ramírez 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.9 8.5 —
Carlos Santana 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.2 —
Steven Kwan LF 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 7.9 —
Jhonkensy Noel RF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 7.2 —
Kyle Manzardo 1B 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.2 —
Brayan Rocchio SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.3 —
Gabriel Arias SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.2 6.3 —
Angel Martínez CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 6.0 —
Austin Hedges C 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.1 5.8 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tanner Bibee Starter 5.3 4.7 5.3 1.7 2.9 43% 100% 17.2 —