Philadelphia Phillies
46% win
2
pred 4.8
FINAL
Atlanta Braves
54% win
4
pred 3.7
2025-04-10 Truist Park 0°F
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 54% vs Mkt 53%
-125 · $80 per $100
WIN
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
RL · 2.7 off line
-198 · $51 per $100
LOSS
OVER 7.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.5 vs Line 7.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Atlanta Braves ML + Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 + OVER 7.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+417 · $417 per $100
LOSS
PHI 46% 54% ATL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 78.4% 21.6%
6.5 70.7% 29.3%
7.5 59.5% 40.5%
8.5 50.2% 49.8%
9.5 40.4% 59.6%
10.5 33.9% 66.1%
11.5 26.2% 73.8%
12.5 22.3% 77.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineATL coversPHI covers
ATL -1.5 38.1% 33.5%
ATL -2.5 27.0% 24.1%
ATL -3.5 16.5% 16.8%
Team Totals
LineATLPHI
O 3.5 60.7% 57.0%
O 4.5 47.8% 43.1%
O 5.5 32.9% 31.8%
O 6.5 22.6% 22.6%
Odds
moneyline ATL 54% · -125 · $80 per $100
BookPHIImpl%ATLImpl%
DraftKings +105 46.7% -125 53.3%
runline Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 · -198 · $51 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 3.7 − 1.5 = 2.2 vs PHI 4.8 no bet
PHI +1.5: PHI 4.8 + 1.5 = 6.3 vs ATL 3.7 BET ✗
BookPHIATL
DraftKings +1.5 -198 -1.5 +164
total Over 7.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 7.5 +105 U 7.5 -125
Player Projections actual (projected)
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 9.4 —
Bryce Harper 1B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.8 —
Nick Castellanos RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 7.5 —
Trea Turner SS 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.1 —
Brandon Marsh CF 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 6.7 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.1 6.5 —
Max Kepler RF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Alec Bohm 3B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 6.2 —
Bryson Stott 2B 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.9 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Jesús Luzardo Starter 5.6 6.3 5.3 2.1 2.9 44% 100% 13.6 —
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Marcell Ozuna DH 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.2 9.8 —
Austin Riley 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.3 9.7 —
Matt Olson 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.4 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 9.2 —
Sean Murphy C 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 8.7 —
Bryan De La Cruz OF 0.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 8.4 —
Michael Harris II CF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
Stuart Fairchild LF 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.1 7.4 —
Nick Allen SS 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 6.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Spencer Schwellenbach Starter 6.0 6.1 5.2 1.8 2.5 51% 100% 20.0 —