Philadelphia Phillies
38% win
4
pred 5.2
FINAL
Atlanta Braves
62% win
3
pred 3.5
2025-04-09 Truist Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Trea Turner UTIL 21.0 $5.2k 4.0
Austin Riley UTIL 17.0 $4.3k 4.0
Bryce Harper UTIL 20.0 $5.1k 3.9
Sean Murphy UTIL 9.0 $3.4k 2.7
Grant Holmes UTIL 16.8 $6.5k 2.6
J.T. Realmuto UTIL 10.0 $4.1k 2.4
Max Kepler UTIL 8.0 $3.9k 2.1
Taijuan Walker UTIL 15.1 $7.5k 2.0
Bryson Stott UTIL 8.0 $4.0k 2.0
Jarred Kelenic UTIL 4.0 $2.2k 1.8
Marcell Ozuna UTIL 8.0 $4.5k 1.8
Raisel Iglesias UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Chris Stratton UTIL 5.2 $4.0k 1.3
Aaron Bummer UTIL 4.4 $4.0k 1.1
Daysbel Hernández UTIL 3.7 $4.0k 0.9
Matt Olson UTIL 4.0 $4.7k 0.9
Ozzie Albies UTIL 3.0 $4.3k 0.7
Nick Castellanos UTIL 3.0 $4.8k 0.6
Michael Harris II UTIL 2.0 $3.8k 0.5
Kyle Schwarber UTIL 2.0 $5.9k 0.3
Dylan Lee UTIL 1.1 $4.0k 0.3
Pierce Johnson UTIL 0.3 $4.0k 0.1
Joe Ross UTIL 0.6 $8.0k 0.1
Best Bets
Atlanta Braves
ML ★ · +5.9% edge
-142 · $100 bet · $70 profit
Model: 62% vs Market: 56%
LOSS
Predictions
Atlanta Braves
ML · Model 62% vs Mkt 56%
-142 · $70 per $100
LOSS
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
RL · 3.2 off line
-180 · $56 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.5
TOTAL · Proj 8.7 vs Line 8.5
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Atlanta Braves ML + Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 + OVER 8.5
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+406 · $406 per $100
LOSS
PHI 38% 62% ATL
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 85.9% 14.1%
6.5 80.3% 19.7%
7.5 71.0% 29.0%
8.5 64.1% 35.9%
9.5 52.7% 47.3%
10.5 45.7% 54.3%
11.5 35.6% 64.4%
12.5 30.1% 69.9%
Run Line (margin)
LineATL coversPHI covers
ATL -1.5 36.7% 36.3%
ATL -2.5 26.2% 27.8%
ATL -3.5 18.9% 20.1%
Team Totals
LineATLPHI
O 3.5 67.8% 64.1%
O 4.5 55.0% 53.0%
O 5.5 40.4% 42.8%
O 6.5 29.0% 31.6%
Odds
moneyline ATL 62% · -142 · $70 per $100
BookPHIImpl%ATLImpl%
DraftKings +120 43.7% -142 56.3%
runline Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 · -180 · $56 per $100
ATL -1.5: ATL 3.5 − 1.5 = 2.0 vs PHI 5.2 no bet
PHI +1.5: PHI 5.2 + 1.5 = 6.7 vs ATL 3.5 BET ✓
BookPHIATL
DraftKings +1.5 -180 -1.5 +150
total Over 8.5 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.5 -118 U 8.5 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Philadelphia Phillies
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kyle Schwarber LF 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 9.2 —
Bryce Harper 1B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 8.4 —
Trea Turner SS 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 7.8 —
Brandon Marsh CF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 7.1 —
Alec Bohm 3B 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Nick Castellanos RF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.1 —
Max Kepler RF 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 6.8 —
J.T. Realmuto C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 6.5 —
Bryson Stott 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 5.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Taijuan Walker Starter 5.2 5.0 5.3 2.1 3.0 43% 100% 6.8 —
Atlanta Braves
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Austin Riley 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 11.9 —
Matt Olson 1B 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.9 11.5 —
Michael Harris II CF 1.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 10.8 —
Marcell Ozuna DH 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 10.0 —
Ozzie Albies 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 9.1 —
Sean Murphy C 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.4 —
Jarred Kelenic LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.1 8.2 —
Orlando Arcia SS 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 7.7 —
Bryan De La Cruz OF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.7 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Grant Holmes Starter 4.8 4.9 5.0 1.9 2.7 40% 100% 16.0 —