Toronto Blue Jays
50% win
2
pred 5
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
51% win
1
pred 4
2025-04-09 Fenway Park 0°F
Top DFS Results
PlayerPosFPSalVal
Kevin Gausman UTIL 35.6 $8.5k 4.2
Jeff Hoffman UTIL 14.5 $4.0k 3.6
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. UTIL 11.0 $5.3k 2.1
Rafael Devers UTIL 10.0 $4.9k 2.0
Jarren Duran UTIL 10.0 $5.4k 1.9
Andrés Giménez UTIL 8.0 $4.4k 1.8
Tanner Houck UTIL 12.8 $7.7k 1.7
Aroldis Chapman UTIL 5.7 $4.0k 1.4
Will Wagner UTIL 4.0 $2.9k 1.4
Nick Sandlin UTIL 4.3 $4.0k 1.1
Ernie Clement UTIL 2.0 $2.5k 0.8
Kristian Campbell UTIL 3.0 $3.9k 0.8
Anthony Santander UTIL 3.0 $4.5k 0.7
Greg Weissert UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Justin Slaten UTIL 2.3 $4.0k 0.6
Bo Bichette UTIL 2.0 $4.3k 0.5
Wilyer Abreu UTIL 2.0 $4.8k 0.4
Alex Bregman UTIL 2.0 $5.0k 0.4
Justin Wilson UTIL 0.8 $4.0k 0.2
Predictions
Boston Red Sox
ML · Model 51% vs Mkt 54%
-130 · $77 per $100
LOSS
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
RL · 2.6 off line
-192 · $52 per $100
WIN
OVER 8.0
TOTAL · Proj 9.0 vs Line 8.0
-110 · $91 per $100
LOSS
Boston Red Sox ML + Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 + OVER 8.0
SGP · 3-leg same-game parlay
+414 · $414 per $100
LOSS
TOR 50% 51% BOS
Total Runs
LineOverUnder
5.5 84.1% 15.9%
6.5 77.4% 22.6%
7.5 66.0% 34.0%
8.5 57.5% 42.5%
9.5 50.1% 49.9%
10.5 42.8% 57.2%
11.5 34.5% 65.5%
12.5 29.3% 70.7%
Run Line (margin)
LineBOS coversTOR covers
BOS -1.5 40.5% 33.8%
BOS -2.5 28.0% 24.6%
BOS -3.5 19.4% 18.2%
Team Totals
LineBOSTOR
O 3.5 68.9% 61.6%
O 4.5 55.1% 49.1%
O 5.5 41.0% 38.0%
O 6.5 29.0% 27.6%
Odds
moneyline BOS 51% · -130 · $77 per $100
BookTORImpl%BOSImpl%
DraftKings +110 45.7% -130 54.3%
runline Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 · -192 · $52 per $100
BOS -1.5: BOS 4.0 − 1.5 = 2.5 vs TOR 5.0 no bet
TOR +1.5: TOR 5.0 + 1.5 = 6.5 vs BOS 4.0 BET ✓
BookTORBOS
DraftKings +1.5 -192 -1.5 +160
total Over 8.0 · -110 · $91 per $100
BookOverUnder
DraftKings O 8.0 -118 U 8.0 -102
Player Projections actual (projected)
Toronto Blue Jays
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 1.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 9.8 —
Bo Bichette SS 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 8.8 —
Anthony Santander LF 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.7 —
Andrés Giménez 2B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.4 —
Alejandro Kirk C 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 7.4 —
Will Wagner 2B 1.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 7.3 —
Ernie Clement 3B 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 7.1 —
Nathan Lukes RF 0.9 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7 7.0 —
Alan Roden LF 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 6.9 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Kevin Gausman Starter 5.1 5.0 5.1 2.0 2.9 39% 100% 11.4 —
Boston Red Sox
BatterPos HHRR RBISBBBK Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Alex Bregman 3B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.4 —
Jarren Duran LF 1.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 10.2 —
Rafael Devers DH 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.0 10.2 —
Wilyer Abreu RF 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 9.5 —
Triston Casas 1B 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 9.1 —
Kristian Campbell 2B 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.4 —
Carlos Narváez C 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.7 8.0 —
Trevor Story SS 0.9 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.1 7.7 —
David Hamilton 2B 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 7.5 —
PitcherRole IPKHBBER Win% App% Proj DFSAct DFS+/-
Tanner Houck Starter 5.3 4.5 5.4 2.0 2.8 50% 100% 12.8 —